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Condign volumes 1 to 3

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This is Volume 2 of the Ministry of Defence report 'Unidentified Aerial Phenomena in the UK Air Defence Region', Defence Intelligence Staff Scientific and Technical Memorandum 55/2/00, dated February 2000 and received 7 December 2000. It gathers 25 working papers on natural and man-made phenomena, meant as a reference for analysing UAP reports. The papers cover ball lightning, radar detection, balloons, satellites, mirages, plasma and similar subjects. One paper compares magnetic field experiments on human volunteers with close encounter reports. It concludes that effects from such fields are 'uncannily similar' to what witnesses describe.

  • p. 43 …A 'place name', 'near a place', 'between two places', 'out to sea off xxxx', 'on holiday…
  • p. 48 UNCLASSIFIED UK RESTRICTED Southend on Sea 153,700 Peterborough 148,800 Blackpool 144,500 Colchester 141…
  • p. 56 …by military or civil radars, either at sea, over land or by aircraft radars? 3. Possible…
  • p. 73 …open countryside, on a hill, or (without obscuration) viewing over the sea or, finally, in the…
  • p. 85 …An obvious exception is that of Search and Rescue operations and helicopter training over sea at…
  • p. 96 HELICOPTER MAIN ROUTES NORTHERN NORTH SEA EAST SHETLAND BASIN HFISA 61°N UNST SCATSA 61°N…
  • p. 121 …from an epicentre). (c) At land or sea (underwater faultlines, for example, Loch Ness, Loch Tay…
  • p. 123 …It is of interest, however, that a Ship's Captain (in the Baltic Sea) claimed (in…
  • p. 124 …A fire breathing dragon came out of the sea. In Japan a 'spinning ball of fire…
  • p. 179 …Water spouts occur similarly at sea. Tornadoes are predominantly cyclonic in rotation. All three phenomena move…
  • p. 227 …example, 50% relative humidity approximately doubles the sea-level dry air collision rate. 22. Plasma Lifetime…
  • p. 232 …combination of long path lengths and low grazing angles is more likely to occur at sea.
  • p. 246 …was first switched-on (in the Baltic Sea). It is assumed, since this occurred on a…
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object might have. The steady (non-fluctuating case), sometimes called Case 5, is extremely rare in normal radar practise, due to the inherent nature of flying targets. (R)

5. Practical Effects The detection capability of a radar depends upon the signal (wanted) to noise (unwanted) ratio. The practical effect of RCS fluctuations, applicable to the UAP scenario, is most simply illustrated by one example. For a typical radar with a requirement of probability of detection of 0.95, against a steady target, a signal/noise ratio of 4 ( $ \sim 6 $ dB) is required. If the target is fluctuating according to Case 1, above, a ratio of $ - 4 8 $ (16.8dB) would be necessary. In radar range terms this turns out to be a range performance reduction by a factor of 3.28. This effect can be mitigated somewhat by illuminating the target with a larger number of pulses and averaging them out. However, there is a limit to the number of pulses emitted, and which impinge on a target from an early warning-type radar during its typical continuous-scan mode of operation. For targets which exhibit Case 3 and Case 4 fluctuations the situation is even worse and it is believed that this is the case for most, if not all, of the plasma UAP events. Hence, the factors which account for the intermittent detection of most UAP events on the radars, can be well justified in engineering and scientific terms. The precise limitations on the UKADR radars are discussed at Volume 3.(U)

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