Documents / FOIA release
This CIA-released copy of Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 is dated 5 May 1955 and comes from the Air Technical Intelligence Center at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base. It is a statistical analysis of about 4,000 unidentified aerial object reports from 1947 through 1952, coded onto IBM punched cards with the help of a panel of scientists. The report concludes that such objects were highly unlikely to be technological developments beyond present-day scientific knowledge. It also found no valid evidence of physical matter.
“Gray”4 pages
# Approved For Release 2005/07/20 : CIA-RDP81R00560R000100060001-5 Evaluation ALL YEARS 1947 1948 1949 Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 21 8 29 8.0 3.0 12.0 3 0 3 18.8 0.0 18.8 1 4 5 5.0 20.0 25.0 2 0 2 8.7 0.0 8.7 1-Astronomical 16 17 33 6.1 6.4 12.5 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 1 4 16.0 5.0 20.0 0 2 2 0.0 8.7 8.7 2-Aircraft 64 27 91 24.2 10.2 24.4 1 0 1 6.2 0.0 6.2 4 1 5 20.0 5.0 25.0 4 2 6 17.4 8.7 26.1 3-Light Phenom. 4 1 5 1.5 0.4 1.9 1 0 1 6.2 0.0 6.2 1 0 1 5.0 0.0 5.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4-Birds 0 1 1 0.0 0.4 0.4 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1 1 0.0 5.0 5.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 2 2 0.0 0.8 0.8 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. 25 0 25 9.5 0.0 9.5 1 0 1 6.2 0.0 6.2 2 0 2 10.0 0.0 10.0 8 0 8 34.8 0.0 34.8 7-Psychological 6 2 8 2.3 0.8 3.1 1 1 2 6.2 6.2 12.4 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8-Unknown 62 0 62 23.5 0.0 23.5 7 0 7 93.8 0.0 43.8 2 0 2 10.0 0.0 10.0 √ 0 5 21.7 0.0 21.7 9-Other 7 1 8 2.7 0.4 3.1 1 0 1 6.2 0.0 6.2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1950 1951 1952 Evaluation Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 1 1 2 4.0 4.0 8.0 2 0 2 15.4 0.0 15.4 12 3 15 7.2 1.8 9.0 1-Astronomical 1 3 3 4.0 12.0 16.0 1 1 2 7.7 7.7 15.4 11 10 21 6.6 6.0 12.6 2-Aircraft 6 0 6 24.0 0.0 24.0 4 1 5 30.8 7.7 38.5 4.5 23 68 26.9 13.8 40.7 3-Light Phenom. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 1 3 1.2 0.6 1.8 4-Birds 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 2 2 0.0 1.2 1.2 6-Insuffic. Info. 5 0 5 20.0 0.0 20.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9 0 9 5.4 0.0 5.4 7-Psychological 1 0 1 4.0 0.0 4.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 1 5 2.4 0.6 3.0 8-Unknown 6 0 6 24.0 0.0 24.0 3 0 3 23.1 0.0 23.1 39 0 39 23.4 0.0 23.4 9-Other 0 1 1 0.0 4.0 4.0 1 0 1 7.7 0.0 7.7 5 0 5 3.0 0.0 3.0 TABLE A156 EVALUATION OF UNIT SIGHTINGS FOR ALL YEARS BY REPORTED Evaluation ALL YEARS 1947 1948 1949 Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Per Cent Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 20 20 40 3.3 3.3 6.6 1 0 1 2.9 0.0 2.9 1 1 2 2.9 2.9 5.8 0 1 1 0.0 1.9 1.9 1-Astronomical 84 61 1.5 13.8 10.0 23.8 6 4 10 17.6 11.8 29.4 4 6 10 11.8 17.6 29.4 2 21 23 3.8 40.4 44.2 2-Aircraft 87 81 168 14.3 13.3 27.6 0 2 2 0.0 5.9 57 3 1 4 8.8 2.9 11.7 6 5 11 11.5 9.6 21.1 3-Light Phenom. 7 3 10 1.1 0.5 1.6 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 2 3 2.9 5.9 8.8 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4-Birds 3 2 5 0.5 0.3 0.8 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 1 2 2.9 2.9 5.8 0 1 1 0.0 1.9 1.9 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. 48 0 48 7.9 0.0 7.9 2 0 2 5.9 0.0 5.9 4 0 4 11.8 0.0 11.8 5 0 5 9.6 0.0 9.6 7-Psychological 7 3 10 1.1 0.5 1.6 0 1 1 0.0 2.9 2.9 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0 1 1.9 0.0 1.9 8-Unknown 153 0 153 25.1 0.0 25.1 13 0 13 38.2 0.0 38.2 7 0 7 20.6 0.0 20.6 9 0 9 17.3 0.0 17.3 9-Other 26 4 30 4.3 0.7 5.0 5 0 5 14.7 0.0 14.7 1 1 2 2.9 2.9 5.8 1 0 1 1.9 0.0 1.9 1950 1951 1952 Evaluation Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 3 0 3 7.9 0.0 7.9 1 0 1 3.4 0.0 3.4 14 18 3.2 3.3 4.3 7.6 1-Astronomical 2 4 6 5.3 10.5 15.8 10 0 10 34.5 0.0 34.5 60 26 86 14.2 6.1 20.3 2-Aircraft 7 4 11 18.9 10.5 18.9 4 2 6 13.8 6.9 20.7 67 67 134 15.9 15.9 31.8 3-Light Phenom. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0 1 3.4 0.0 3.4 5 1 6 1.2 0.2 1.4 4-Birds 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0 2 0.5 0.0 0.5 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. 3 0 3 7.9 0.0 7.9 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 34 0 34 8.1 0.0 8.1 7-Psychological 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1 1 0.0 3.4 3.4 6 1 7 1.4 0.2 1.6 8-Unknown 11 0 11 28.9 0.0 28.9 7 0 7 24.1 0.0 24.1 106 0 106 25.1 0.0 25.1 9-Other 2 2 4 5.3 5.3 10.6 3 0 3 10.3 0.0 10.3 14 1 15 3.3 0.2 3.5 </td
FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. The text was read from the page images by an OCR model; expect the odd misread word. 312 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.