Documents / FOIA release
This CIA-released copy of Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 is dated 5 May 1955 and comes from the Air Technical Intelligence Center at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base. It is a statistical analysis of about 4,000 unidentified aerial object reports from 1947 through 1952, coded onto IBM punched cards with the help of a panel of scientists. The report concludes that such objects were highly unlikely to be technological developments beyond present-day scientific knowledge. It also found no valid evidence of physical matter.
“Gray”4 pages
Read from the scan by GLM-OCR; expect the odd misread word.
# Approved For Release 2005/07/20 : CIA-RDP81R00560R000100060001-5 Evaluation Excellent Good Doubtful Poor Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 4 0 4 11.4 0.0 11.4 3 0 3 5.6 0.0 5.6 6 2 8 16.2 5.4 21.6 9 3 12 10.8 3.6 14.4 1-Astronomical 6 5 11 17.1 14.3 31.4 18 8 26 33.3 14.8 48.1 6 4 10 16.2 10.8 27.0 12 1 13 14.4 1.2 15.6 2-Aircraft 2 1 3 5.7 2.9 8.6 6 4 10 11.1 7.4 18.5 5 2 7 13.5 5.4 18.9 17 4 21 20.5 4.8 25.3 3-Light Phenom. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4-Birds 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. 4 0 4 11.4 0.0 11.4 1 0 1 1.9 0.0 1.9 4 0 4 10.8 0.0 10.8 17 0 17 20.5 0.0 20.5 7-Psychological 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0 2 2.4 0.0 2.4 8-Unknown 12 0 12 34.3 0.0 34.3 10 0 10 18.5 0.0 18.5 6 0 6 16.2 0.0 16.2 14 0 14 16.9 0.0 16.9 9-Other 1 0 1 2.9 0.0 2.9 1 3 4 1.9 5.6 7.5 1 1 2 2.7 2.7 5.4 3 1 4 3.6 1.2 4.8 EXCELLENT GOOD DOUBTFUL POOR Evaluation Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 1 0 1 5.9 0.0 5.9 4 1 5 11.1 2.8 13.9 2 2 4 4.3 4.3 8.6 2 0 2 5.4 0.0 5.4 1-Astronomical 3 2 5 17.6 11.8 29.4 12 4 16 33.3 11.1 44.4 3 3 6 6.4 6.4 12.8 3 5 8 8.1 13.5 21.6 2-Aircraft 3 1 4 17.6 5.9 23.5 7 0 7 19.4 0.0 19.4 2 4 6 4.3 8.5 12.8 4 3 7 10.8 8.1 18.9 3-Light Phenom. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 1 3 4.3 2.1 6.3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4-Birds 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1 1 0.0 2.8 2.8 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8 0 8 17.0 0.0 17.0 6 0 6 16.2 0.0 16.2 7-Psychological 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 1 2 2.1 2.1 4.2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8-Unknown 6 0 6 35.3 0.0 35.3 7 0 7 19.4 0.0 19.4 16 0 16 34.0 0.0 34.0 9 0 9 24.3 0.0 24.3 9-Other 1 0 1 5.9 0.0 5.9 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0 2 4.3 0.0 4.3 5 0 5 13.5 0.0 13.5 EXCELLENT GOOD DOUBTFUL POOR Evaluation Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Per Cent Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 11 10 21 8.2 7.5 15.7 68 43 111 10.5 6.6 17.1 55 56 111 8.7 8.8 17.5 31 21 52 10.1 6.9 17.0 1-Astronomical 17 8 25 12.7 6.0 18.7 98 43 141 15.1 6.6 21.7 78 32 110 12.3 5.1 17.4 46 26 72 15.0 8.5 23.5 2-Aircraft 16 15 31 11.9 11.2 23.1 72 74 146 11.1 11.4 22.5 92 88 180 14.5 13.9 28.4 31 21 52 10.1 6.9 17.0 3-Light Phenom. 2 0 2 1.5 0.0 1.5 7 8 15 1.1 1.2 2.3 12 9 21 1.9 1.4 3.3 5 0 5 1.6 0.0 1.6 4-Birds 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 1 5 0.6 0.2 0.8 3 3 6 0.5 0.5 1.0 2 1 3 0.7 0.3 1.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 5 7 0.3 0.8 1.1 1 2 3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. 4 0 4 3.0 0.0 3.0 20 0 20 3.1 0.0 3.1 74 0 74 11.7 0.0 11.7 61 0 61 19.9 0.0 19.9 7-Psychological 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0 2 0.3 2.0 0.3 18 4 22 2.8 0.6 3.4 6 2 8 2.0 0.7 2.7 8-Unknown 44 0 44 32.8 0.0 32.8 171 0 171 26.3 0.0 26.3 86 0 86 13.6 0.0 13.6 43 0 43 14.1 0.0 14.1 9-Other 7 0 7 5.2 0.0 5.2 26 5 31 4.0 0.8 4.8 19 2 21 3.0 0.3 3.3 0 9 9 0.0 2.9 2.9 </td
FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. The text was read from the page images by GLM-OCR; expect the odd misread word. 312 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.