Documents / FOIA release
This CIA-released copy of Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 is dated 5 May 1955 and comes from the Air Technical Intelligence Center at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base. It is a statistical analysis of about 4,000 unidentified aerial object reports from 1947 through 1952, coded onto IBM punched cards with the help of a panel of scientists. The report concludes that such objects were highly unlikely to be technological developments beyond present-day scientific knowledge. It also found no valid evidence of physical matter.
“Gray”4 pages
Read from the scan by GLM-OCR; expect the odd misread word.
# Approved For Release 2005/07/20 : CIA-RDP81R00560R000100060001-5 Evaluation Excellent Good Doubtful Poor Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Per Cent Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 19 11 30 7.8 4.5 12.3 86 51 137 9.9 5.9 15.8 76 64 140 8.4 7.1 15.5 47 25 72 8.8 4.7 13.5 1-Astromonical 41 25 67 16.9 10.7 27.6 144 86 230 16.5 9.9 26.4 123 80 203 13.6 8.8 22.4 75 64 139 14.0 11.9 25.9 2-Aircraft 25 18 43 10.3 7.4 17.7 94 85 179 10.8 9.8 20.6 115 99 214 12.7 11.0 23.7 58 33 91 10.8 6.2 17.0 3-Light Phenom. 2 0 2 0.8 0.0 0.8 10 9 19 1.1 1.0 2.1 15 12 27 1.7 1.3 3.0 6 0 5 0.9 0.0 0.9 4-Birds 0 2 2 0.0 0.8 0.8 5 4 9 0.6 0.5 1.1 6 3 9 0.7 0.3 1.0 2 1 3 0.4 0.2 0.6 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 5 7 0.2 0.6 0.8 1 2 3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. 10 0 10 4.1 0.0 4.1 29 0 29 3.3 0.0 3.3 119 0 119 13.2 0.0 13.2 103 0 103 19.2 0.0 19.2 7-Psychological 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 1 4 0.3 0.1 0.4 21 6 27 2.3 0.7 3.0 12 2 14 2.2 0.4 2.6 8-Unknown 76 0 76 31.3 0.0 30.3 212 0 212 24.3 0.0 24.3 126 0 126 13.9 0.0 13.9 83 0 83 15.5 0.0 15.5 9-Other 13 0 13 53 0.0 5.3 36 9 45 4.1 1.0 51 27 9 36 3.0 1.0 4.0 16 10 26 3.0 1.9 4.9 EXCELLENT GOOD DOUBTFUL POOR Evaluation Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 1 0 1 5.9 0.0 5.9 1 0 1 3.4 0.0 3.4 3 0 3 8.6 0.0 8.6 2 0 2 12.5 0.0 12.5 1-Astronomical 3 0 3 17.6 0.0 17.6 5 4 9 17.2 13.8 31.0 9 4 13 25.7 11.4 37.1 2 0 2 12.5 0.0 12.5 2-Aircraft 1 1 2 5.9 5.9 11.8 1 1 2 3.4 3.4 6.9 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3-Light Phenom. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0 1 3.4 0.0 3.4 1 0 1 2.9 0.0 2.9 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4-Birds 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. 2 0 2 11.8 0.0 11.8 2 0 2 6.9 0.0 6.9 2 0 2 5.7 0.0 5.7 6 0 6 37.5 0.0 37.5 7-Psychological 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1 1 0.0 3.4 3.4 2 1 3 5.7 2.9 8.6 1 0 1 6.2 0.0 6.2 8-Unknown 6 0 6 35.3 0.0 35.3 7 0 7 24.1 0.0 24.1 9 0 9 25.7 0.0 25.7 2 0 2 12.5 0.0 12.5 9-Other 3 0 3 17.6 0.0 17.6 6 0 6 20.7 0.0 20.7 4 0 4 11.4 0.0 11.4 3 0 3 18.7 0.0 18.7 EXCELLENT GOOD DOUBTFUL POOR Evaluation Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 2 1 3 10.0 5.0 15.0 6 5 11 11.8 9.8 21.6 6 4 10 8.1 5.4 13.5 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1-Astronomical 7 4 11 35.0 20.0 55.0 10 5 15 19.6 9.8 29.4 10 16 26 13.5 21.6 35.1 1 2 3 12.5 25.0 37.5 2-Aircraft 2 0 2 10.0 0.0 10.0 3 0 3 5.9 0.0 5.9 9 4 13 12.2 5.4 17.6 1 0 1 12.5 0.0 12.5 3-Light Phenom. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 1 3 3.9 2.0 5.9 0 2 2 0.0 2.7 2.7 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4-Birds 0 1 1 0.0 5.0 5.0 1 2 3 2.0 3.9 5.9 1 0 1 1.4 0.0 1.4 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0 2 3.9 0.0 3.9 13 0 13 17.6 0.0 17.6 2 0 2 25.0 0.0 25.0 7-Psychological 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0 1 2.0 0.0 2.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8-Unknown 3 0 3 15.0 0.0 15.0 9 0 9 17.6 0.0 17.6 3 0 3 4.1 0.0 4.1 1 0 1 12.5 0.0 12.5 9-Other 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 1 4 5.9 2.0 7.9 0 6 6 0.0 8.1 8.1 1 0 1 12.5 0.0 12.5 EXCELLENT GOOD DOUBTFUL POOR Evaluation Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 2 6 7.7 3.8 11.5 4 0 4 5.2 0.0 5.2 3 1 4 3.4 11 4.5 1-Astromonical 5 7 12 25.0 35.0 60.0 1 22 23 1.9 42.3 44.2 17 21 38 22.1 27.3 49.4 11 30 41 12.6 34.5 47.1 2-Aircraft 1 0 1 5.0 0.0 5.0 5 6 11 9.6 11.5 21.1 7 1 8 9.1 1.3 10.4 5 5 10 5.7 5.7 11.4 3-Light Phenom. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4-Birds 0 1 1 0.0 5.0 5.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0 2 2.6 0.0 2.6 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0 4 7.7 0.0 7.7 18 0 18 23.4 0.0 23.4 11 0 11 12.6 0.0 12.6 7-Psychological 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 0 3 3.4 0.0 3.4 8-Unknown 5 0 5 25.0 0.0 25.0 8 0 8 15.4 0.0 15.4 6 0 6 7.8 0.0 7.8 14 0 14 16.1 0.0 16.1 9-Other 1 0 1 50 0.0 5.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0 1 1.3 0.0 1.3 4 0 4 4.6 0.0 4.6 </td
FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. The text was read from the page images by GLM-OCR; expect the odd misread word. 312 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.