Documents / FOIA release
This CIA-released copy of Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 is dated 5 May 1955 and comes from the Air Technical Intelligence Center at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base. It is a statistical analysis of about 4,000 unidentified aerial object reports from 1947 through 1952, coded onto IBM punched cards with the help of a panel of scientists. The report concludes that such objects were highly unlikely to be technological developments beyond present-day scientific knowledge. It also found no valid evidence of physical matter.
“Gray”4 pages
Read from the scan by GLM-OCR; expect the odd misread word.
# Approved For Release 2005/07/20 : CIA-RDP81R00560R000100060001-5 Evaluation EXCELLENT GOOD DOUBTFUL POOR Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 4 0 4 8.2 0.0 8.2 3 0 3 5.1 0.0 5.1 18 5 23 14.6 4.1 18.7 8 2 10 10.7 2.7 13.4 1-Astronomical 7 7 14 14.3 14.3 28.6 20 8 28 33.9 13.6 47.5 12 8 20 9.8 6.5 16.3 10 2 12 13.3 2.7 16.0 2-Aircraft 4 1 5 8.2 2.0 10.2 6 5 11 10.2 8.5 18.7 17 9 26 13.8 7.3 21.1 12 0 12 16.0 0.0 16.0 3-Light Phenom. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4-Birds 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6-Insuffic. Inb. 4 0 4 8.2 0.0 8.2 1 0 1 1.7 0.0 1.7 25 0 25 20.3 0.0 20.3 19 0 19 25.3 0.0 25.3 7-Psychological 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0 4 5.3 0.0 5.3 8-Unknown 21 0 21 42.9 0.0 42.9 12 0 12 20.3 0.0 20.3 22 0 22 17.9 0.0 17.9 16 0 16 21.3 0.0 21.3 9-Other 1 0 1 2.0 0.0 2.0 1 3 4 1.7 5.1 6.8 3 4 7 2.4 3.2 5.6 2 0 2 2.7 0.0 2.7 Excellent Good Doubtful Poor Evaluation Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 1 0 1 5.5 0.0 5.5 5 1 6 12.2 2.4 14.6 2 2 4 3.4 3.4 6.8 2 1 3 4.7 2.3 7.0 1-Astronomical 3 2 5 16.7 11.1 27.8 13 5 18 31.7 12.2 43.9 3 4 7 5.2 6.9 12.1 6 6 12 14.0 14.0 28.0 2-Aircraft 3 1 4 16.7 5.5 22.2 7 0 7 17.1 0.0 17.1 2 4 6 3.4 6.9 10.3 4 3 7 9.3 7.0 16.3 3-Light Phenom. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 1 3 3.4 1.7 5.1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4-Birds 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1 1 0.0 2.4 2.4 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9 0 9 15.5 0.0 15.5 5 0 5 11.6 0.0 11.6 7-Psychological 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 1 2 1.7 1.7 3.4 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8-Unknown 7 0 7 38.9 0.0 36.9 9 0 9 21.9 0.0 21.9 25 0 25 43.1 0.0 43.1 11 0 11 25.6 0.0 25.6 9-Other 1 0 1 5.5 0.0 5.5 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0 2 3.4 0.0 3.4 5 0 5 11.6 0.0 11.6 EXCELLENT GOOD DOUBTFUL POOR Evaluation Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total 0-Balloon 11 11 22 6.7 6.7 13.4 77 52 129 9.7 6.6 16.3 61 60 121 8.0 7.8 15.8 38 21 59 12.8 7.1 19.9 1-Astronomical 17 9 35 10.4 4.9 15.3 110 50 160 13.9 6.3 20.2 109 37 146 14.2 4.8 19.0 24 25 49 8.1 8.4 16.5 2-Aircraft 27 16 43 16.6 9.8 26.4 82 94 176 10.3 11.9 22.2 112 100 212 14.6 13.0 27.6 29 22 61 9.8 7.4 17.2 3-Light Phenom. 2 0 2 1.2 0.0 1.2 7 8 15 0.9 1.0 1.9 12 9 21 1.6 1.2 2.8 5 0 5 1.7 0.0 1.7 4-Birds 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 1 5 0.5 0.1 0.6 7 3 10 0.9 0.4 1.3 2 1 3 0.7 0.3 1.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8 10 18 1.0 1.3 2.3 4 3 7 0.5 0.4 0.9 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. 4 0 4 2.5 0.0 2.5 22 0 22 2.8 0.0 2.8 79 0 79 10.3 0.0 10.3 61 0 61 20.6 0.0 20.0 7-Psychological 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0 2 0.3 0.0 0.3 18 4 22 2.3 0.5 2.8 6 3 9 2.0 1.1 3.1 8-Unknown 60 0 60 36.8 0.0 36.8 228 0 228 79.9 0.0 28.8 120 0 120 15.6 0.0 15.6 47 0 47 15.9 0.0 15.9 9-Other 7 0 7 4.3 0.0 4.3 31 6 37 3.9 0.8 4.7 27 7 29 3.5 0.3 3.8 0 12 12 0.0 4.1 4.1 </td
FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. The text was read from the page images by GLM-OCR; expect the odd misread word. 312 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.