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Warsaw Pact Air Forces: Support of Strategic Operations in Central Europe, CIA/DI/SOVA Intelligence Assessment, January 1985.

Central Intelligence Agency · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency Directorate of Intelligence assessment, dated January 1985, examines how Warsaw Pact air forces would support large strategic operations in Central Europe. It concludes that the Soviets see NATO air power as the greatest threat to a Pact ground offensive. They revised their air supremacy plans in 1980 and 1981 to use sector-concentrated raids and a defensive air operation. The assessment also finds that heavy aircraft losses and limited deep attack capability would remain serious problems. The document has no UFO content.

  • p. 7 …option at the outset of war. -- - The deployment of large numbers of these advanced fighters also…
  • p. 21 …Rigid Soviet employment con- deploying advanced F-15s and additional F-l Is.cepts in the…
  • p. 29 …Participants;The initial air defense operation would to anticipate far enough in advance the approximateinvolve more…
  • p. 36 …o the new Blackjack could be more useful in penetrating NATO's technically advanced air defenses…
  • p. 48 …two hours before the front air forces and the NATO's technically advanced air defense system…
  • p. 49 …case, the Scuds may have been deployed forward to keep pace with the other advancing front…
  • p. 62 …or at NATO reserves advancing toward the drop zones. least until the front main forces have…
  • p. 65 …aircraft in the Western TMO probably would with the advancing ground forces of the coastal front…
  • p. 68 Top Secret - The deployment of large numbers of these advanced Introduce jam-resistant communications that could…
  • p. 70 …army groups and an advance to a particular commands. At the apex of this command pyramid…
  • p. 72 …the defeat of the main forces of specific opposing NATO army corps and an advance to…
  • p. 78 …also includes the Baltic Fleet air forces and the they were researching more advanced ways to…
  • p. 91 …The Soviet term for the branch of the cal-level forces and the provision of substantial…
Top Secret
Table 7
Estimated Composition and Roles of the Smolensk
Strategic Air Army (mid-1983)
Aircraft Total Strike/Attack Role Electronic Counter- Reconnaissance Tanker
Type Available measures Role Role Role
Primary Secondary Flyable Primary Flyable Primary Secondary Primary
Storage Storage
Backfire BC 60 60 - _ - 20*
Blinder B 64 64 30-
Blinder ACD 86 40 to 50 to 30 to
75b 55< 35'
Badger G 169 140 to 25 to 70a
145' 30d
Badger HJK 103 35 to 50 * loo r 3r
Badger EF 3 3
Badger (TD) 8 8 ---
Total (rounded) 495 265 to 75 to 25 to 150 to 5 35 to 120 10
270 125 30 155 40
We assume that one strike squadron in each strike regiment trains d Assumes Badger G's at main operating basesin excessof about 24
in a secondary reconnaissance role, aircraft per regiment are in flyable storage.bAssumes 10 to 20 reconnaissance aircraft and up to 25.jamming <Estimated number of Badger H aircraft, assuming four to six peraircraft cannot be reconfigured to carry bombs. Badger strike regiment and 10 to 15 in the ECM regiment.
c Assumes one ECM support squadron for each of the fie Blinder rAssumes one ECM support squadron for each Badger strike
regiments and two reconnaissance squadrons in each of the two regiment plus four such squadrons in the ECNI regiment. It is not
reconnaissance regiments. clear whether any are in flyable storage.
All of the Backfires that are operationally deployed in probably contains at least one squadron of dedicated
the three (and part of a fourth) Backfirc strike reconnaissance aircraft. Recent analysis
regiments of the Smolensk air army probably are has revealed that one of these two regiments
strike aircraft capable of carrying bombs and ASMs. also has a full squadron of Blinders that have been
No Backfire support variants have yet been identified modified with various configurations of blade anten-
in service, and we have not observed training I nas (possibly for electronic intelligtace collection), and
that would indicate the use of that at least one other aircraft has been modified to
specialized support aircraft. We project that the carry a side-looking airborne radar (SLAR) system.
Soviets will probably elect to deploy some Backfire The flight-training programs of these two regiments,
reconnaissance and dedicated jammer variants some however, include free-fall bombing and dedicated
time in the future, though probably in considerably ECM and chaff-support missions, as well as intelli-
fewer numbers than was the case with the Badger gence collection flights-implying a secondary ground
program. attack role perhaps similar to that of front aviation
reconnaissance regiments uggest
Support Regiments. We are unable to determine the that the bomb bays of most of these aircraft probably
composition of the two Blinder reconnaissance regi- can be readily reconfigured to carry either bombs or
ments
ecauscwe vee
ientfihed1inider C e
have estimated for many years t at each regiment
1 p..cn 66

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.