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Warsaw Pact Air Forces: Support of Strategic Operations in Central Europe, CIA/DI/SOVA Intelligence Assessment, January 1985.

Central Intelligence Agency · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency Directorate of Intelligence assessment, dated January 1985, examines how Warsaw Pact air forces would support large strategic operations in Central Europe. It concludes that the Soviets see NATO air power as the greatest threat to a Pact ground offensive. They revised their air supremacy plans in 1980 and 1981 to use sector-concentrated raids and a defensive air operation. The assessment also finds that heavy aircraft losses and limited deep attack capability would remain serious problems. The document has no UFO content.

  • p. 7 …option at the outset of war. -- - The deployment of large numbers of these advanced fighters also…
  • p. 21 …Rigid Soviet employment con- deploying advanced F-15s and additional F-l Is.cepts in the…
  • p. 29 …Participants;The initial air defense operation would to anticipate far enough in advance the approximateinvolve more…
  • p. 36 …o the new Blackjack could be more useful in penetrating NATO's technically advanced air defenses…
  • p. 48 …two hours before the front air forces and the NATO's technically advanced air defense system…
  • p. 49 …case, the Scuds may have been deployed forward to keep pace with the other advancing front…
  • p. 62 …or at NATO reserves advancing toward the drop zones. least until the front main forces have…
  • p. 65 …aircraft in the Western TMO probably would with the advancing ground forces of the coastal front…
  • p. 68 Top Secret - The deployment of large numbers of these advanced Introduce jam-resistant communications that could…
  • p. 70 …army groups and an advance to a particular commands. At the apex of this command pyramid…
  • p. 72 …the defeat of the main forces of specific opposing NATO army corps and an advance to…
  • p. 78 …also includes the Baltic Fleet air forces and the they were researching more advanced ways to…
  • p. 91 …The Soviet term for the branch of the cal-level forces and the provision of substantial…
Table 6
Aircraft With Nuclear Roles Typically Available
to the Western High Command, Mid-1983 a
Formation Number of Nationality Unit Aircraft Number ofRegiments Type Type Aircraft
In-place forces -
Legnica strategic air army (SAA) 6 Soviet Light bomber Fencer b 80
GSFG-GDR Front Air Force (FAF) I Soviet Light bomber Fencer 30
7 Soviet Fighter-bomber Fitter DK, Flogger BDJ, 315
and Fishbed K
I n German Fighter-bomber Flogger H 20Czechoslovak-CGF FAF 2 Czechoslovak Fighter-bomber Flogger H and Fitter A 85
___1 * Czechoslovak Fighter-bomber FishbediX 40
Polish-GDR FAF 2 Polish Fighter-bomber Fitter C and Fitter A 55Baltic Fleet Air Force (AF) 3 d Soviet Medium bomber Backfire and Badger 60
I Soviet Fighter-bomber Fitter C 40
Total in-place forces --
Possible reinforcement forces -
Vinnitsa SAA 6 Soviet Light bomber Fencer b 190Belorussian FAF 3 Soviet Fighter-bomber Flogger DJ, Fitter A, 135
and Fishbed
Carpathian FAF 4 Soviet Fighter-bomber Fitter CK, Flogger DJ, 180
and Fitter A
Baltic FAF 4 Soviet Fighter-bomber Flogger DJ, Fitter A, 180
and Fishbed
Total reinforcement forces 685
Total forces asatlable 1,510
"Thin tabte doesnot include more than 1,000 Soviet tactical These two units probably have nuclear roles, but this hasnot beenfighter-interccptors that are capable of delivering nuclear weapons confirmed.
but annennedto haveonly an emergency-reserve nuclear role. Also d We estimate that the three medium bomber regiments in thenot included are about 265 mediam bombers in the ttrke regiments missile strike air division of the Baltic Sea Fleet AF have nuclearof the Smolenk SAA. e estimate that about three-quarters of the roles but that the Blinders and Badgers of the medium bombermedium bomber strikes might be taaked to be delivered in the reconnaissance regiment would probably perform reconnaissanceWestern TMO againstMOrgets that are located deeper than the and penetration support missions. We cannot rule out the possibili-TMO high command's area of direct control in the initial massed ty, however, that someof the aircraft in the reconnaissancenuclear strike, but for.which the high command may have target regiment also could be usedto conduct nuclear strikes,
nomination responsibilities.
bThe Legnicv and Vinnitsa SAAs each had one regiment in the
process of converting from fighter-bombers to Fencer light
bombers.
If the initial massed nucle ir strike followed a pro- are believed to be trained in nuclear delivery tech-
tracted period of conventional conflict with heavy niquesijrhe ground attack aircraft that would nor-
losses of nuclear delivery aircraft, the Soviets could, if mally perform reconnaissance and defense suppres-
necessary, draw on'the large pool of other front air ,
forces aircraft capable of delivering nuclear weapons.
These include most Soviet fighter-interceptors-al-
though only about one-third of Soviet fighter pilots
45 Top"Secret

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.