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Warsaw Pact Air Forces: Support of Strategic Operations in Central Europe, CIA/DI/SOVA Intelligence Assessment, January 1985.

Central Intelligence Agency · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency Directorate of Intelligence assessment, dated January 1985, examines how Warsaw Pact air forces would support large strategic operations in Central Europe. It concludes that the Soviets see NATO air power as the greatest threat to a Pact ground offensive. They revised their air supremacy plans in 1980 and 1981 to use sector-concentrated raids and a defensive air operation. The assessment also finds that heavy aircraft losses and limited deep attack capability would remain serious problems. The document has no UFO content.

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Table 2 (continued)
Assigned Combat-Ready Aircraft Nuclear Alert Available for
Combat First Massed
Aircraft Rateb Aircraft Rate' Aircraft Sortie
(percent) (percen}
Baltic FAF
Fighter Ito 90 100 100
Attack 60* 90 55 55
Total 4,635 4,140 4,140
Fighter 2,050 1,825 1,825
Attack 1,970 1,765 1,765
Support 615 550 550
Minimum force
Legnica SAA - - -
Fighter 135 95 130 130
Attack 180 90 and 95 165 30 54 110
Support 40 95 40 40
Baltic-Fleet AF
Attack 35 d 85 30 30
GSFG-GDR FAF
Fighter 505 85 and 95 460 460
Attack 395 85 and 95 370 30 105 265
Support 100 85 and 95 95 95
Czechoslovak-CGF FAF
Fighter 310 85 and 95 270 270
Attack 155 85 130 30 36 95
Support 65 85 and 95 55 55
Second-echelon NAD
Fighter 335 _ 85 285 285
Polish-GDR FAF
Fighter 200 85 170 170
Attack 65 85 55 55
Total 2,520 2,255 195 2,060
Fighter ' .485 1,315 1,315
Attack 830 750 195 555
Support 205 190 190
Numbers are rounded to the nearest 5 except for nuclear reserves. a We assume forward deployment of Baltic Fleet fighter-bombersWe assume that Soviet fighter, fighter-bomber, and light bomber but insufficient warning for medium bombers to beusedin ourregiments start with a 90-percent operational readiness rate if they moderate force estimate. No forward deployment is assumed in thehad to deploy forward from bases in the USSR, rather than the 95- minimum case.
percent Soviet standard for the forward area. Non-Soviet Warsaw e We have assumed that approximately one-third of the fighter-Pact units have an operational readiness rate of 85 percent. bombers assigned to second-echelon fronts located in Poland and'Nuclear reserve percentages are approximate and follow the Czechoslovakia would be used in an air defense role.Soviet norm of being based on authorized unit strengths. We have r We have not redistributed air forces between the five first-echelonfollowed the Soviet practice of specifying the nuclear reserve in fronts, as the Soviets probably would do. Ourterms of flights per regiment or division. In this case we used one figures for the forces of te Belorussian and Carpathian frontsflight per regiment in our moderate farce estimate and three flights simply reflect their point of origin.per regiment in the minimum force. Only units assessedto have aIncludes two Soviet territorial fighter-interceptor regiments de-nuclear roles are counted. ployed forward from the USSR.
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.