Documents / FOIA release
This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.
“Mission Control”29 pages
Top cret missile (range of 120 to 130 km) roughly comparable to the US Lance, is now with at least one division in the western USSR. It offers major improvements in range and accuracy over the FROG, which it is replacing." The SS-21 evidently has a cluster-munition 159. Tactical Missiles. Ground force nuclear deliv- warhead in addition to the usual nuclear, chemical, ery systems consist mainly of the FROG, Scud, and and conventional warheads. A cluster-munition war- Scaleboard missiles. (See figure II-26.) The Soviets head would significantly improve the SS-21's utility have 3] FROG battalions with some 125 launchers during conventional warfare against soft targets such and1lScOud bargades with 150 launches in Eastern as personnel and equipment in the open or NATO air defense and electronics installations. The SS-22, a Europe. They have another 65 FROG battalions (260 launchers) and 20 Scud brigades (240 launchers) in replacement missile for the Scaleboard, became their military districts opposite NATO. The Scud has a issued to some Scaleboard units in the USSR. It is range of about 300 km -and the FROG about 70 km. to be located in Eastern Europe, but we estimate that "The circular error probable (CEP) of the SS-21 is estimated to six Scaleboard units with 72 launchers are part of the be 200 to 300 meters at two-thirds the maximum range of 120 to 130 kilometers. This is a significant improvement in accuracy over the forces in the USSR earmarked for use against NATO. FROG-7, with a CEP of 400 meters at two-thirds the maximum NSWP forces have 310 FROG and Scud launchers. range of 70 kilometers. CEP is a conventional index of accuracy defined as the radius of the circle centered on the intended target 160. The Soviets are improving the quality of their within which there is a 50-percent probability that an arriving tactical ballistic missile forces. The SS-21, a new missile warhead will fall. Selected Warsaw Pact Tactical Surface-to-Surface Missiles 'Figure 11-26 FROG-7 SS-21 Scud B SS-12/22 Scaleboard No drawing - g available ? -o- Year operational 1965 1976 1961 1965/1977 Range (km) Minimum 12 10-15 50 200 Maximum 70 120 300 925 Warhead yield (kt) 10 0.5 10 10 200 10 300 300 200 500 CEP (m) at 400 20O-300 500-900 700-800/300-400 two-thirds range* Propulsion Single stage- Single stage- Single stage- Two stage- solid solid liquid solid 'CEP (circular error probable) is a conventional index of accuracy defined as the radius of a circle centered on the intended target within which there is a 50-percent probability that an arriving missile warhead will fall. 579030 an cu 11-46
Not linked to a story yet.
FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.