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Warsaw Pact Forces opposite NATO, NIE 11-14-79, Volume II, the Estimate, CIA/NFAC, 31 January 1979

Central Intelligence Agency · 201 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 20 …Unlike NATO, the Warsaw Pact does not have theater headquarters in being in peacetime, although hardened…
  • p. 21 …control of the Western and Southwestern TVD headquarters-often called High Commands by the Soviets. The…
  • p. 26 …links could be established to theater-level headquarters and to supporting strategic cornmands. Communications, between Moscow…
  • p. 35 …Surprise in the known: ' Soviet view can be achieved through many means- Administrative Structure HeadQuartered in…
  • p. 55 …The Soviets Headquarters in Moscow and are considered strategic maintain a total of 15 such divisions…
  • p. 72 …PO A ; re -t { - Black Sea Fleet ROMANI A -UGM (Dsevastopo - BUGRAFleet Caspian headquarters Black Sea…
  • p. 74 …Readiness from Naval Headquarters in Moscow, from fleet Home Waters 40 Operable headquarters,.or by command…
  • p. 114 …reported to fleet headquarters, a practice we did not 259. Forward Basing. To support their worldwide…
  • p. 117 …Some do not have Ground Forces headquarters; some have d. Not all have naval commands. Military…
  • p. 118 …in Soviet maritime strategy is the MTVD, headquarters in being in peacetime. Hardened com- the Maritime…
  • p. 119 …The headquarters staffs and communications after full mobilization; a more typical front would support elements of…
  • p. 122 …Representatives of the Headquarters of the 14. The Soviets intend to maintain centralized con- Warsaw Pact…
  • p. 182 …The number of older ballistic missile subma- links could be established to theater-level headquarters rincs…
  • p. 183 …communications system for use between major fixed headquarters. 108. Logistic Support. Improvements in the logis- tic…
Top
defenses and attacking targets in the open ocean than aircraft, which improve their overall capabilities
does the Badger. Also, it is far more capable than the against NATO naval surface forces. There is insuffi-
Badger of crossing potentially hostile land areas, such cient evidence to judge how the Soviets would use
as Turkey and Greece, and operating over the either of these aircraft against ships at sea or how
Mediterranean. effective they might be in wartime. Most Forger
training thus far has been of the kind useful for attacks
121. In the antiship role, wartime operational con- against ships at sea. The Fitters, however, all of which
siderations probably would tend to dictate the use of are hased in the Baltic, are probably intended for
Backfires for strikes against important NATO warships ground attack in support of amphibious operations and
in certain key areas. These areas would include the antiship attacks.
North Atlantic at least as far south as the Greenland-
Iceland-United Kingdom (G-l-UK) gap, the North 123. The three Soviet western fleets have 14 princi-
Sea, and the Mediterranean. The operational con- pal surface combatant ships armed with antiship
straints tending to limit the use of Backfires include cruise missiles. (See figure II-23.) Six of these ships
mission planning allowances for combat maneuvering' have long-range (160 to 300 nm, or 300 to 555 km)
and requirements for routing around and penetrating missiles, including the Kiev aircraft carrier, with an
NATO air defenses. Aerial refueling could add flexi- estimated 24 SS-N-12s; two Kynda cruisers, with 16
bility for the employment of Backfires, however. SS-N-3b's each; and three Kresta-I cruisers, with four
122. The Soviet naval air forces opposite NATO SS-N-3b's each. To fire these missiles accurately to
have in the past few years added some 40 shore-based their maximum range requires that these ships obtain
SU-17 Fitter C/D and some 35 carrier-based YAK-36 external targeting support. For this purpose, the Kiev
Forger V/STOL (vertical/short takeoff and landing) and the Kresta-Is carry reconnaissance helicopters and,
Nominal Flight Profiles of Soviet Air-Launched Cruise Missiles Figure II-22b
Altitude (m)
25,000
AS 4 AS ,6
20,000 A 3
15,000
10,000
5,000 -S 5
AS--
650 600 500 400 300 200 100 0
Range (km) Target
Sec
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- 11-37
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.