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Warsaw Pact Forces opposite NATO, NIE 11-14-79, Volume II, the Estimate, CIA/NFAC, 31 January 1979

Central Intelligence Agency · 201 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 25 …and subsidiary systems such as command and control, radioelectronic combat (REC), and reconnais- sance data link…
  • p. 31 …Some of these submarines might alternatively have missions of minelaying near NATO naval bases or patrolling…
  • p. 33 …The Soviet Union views control of its East Euro- preparerd for any mission, froni defending against…
  • p. 42 …The USSR attributes a littoral of Europe have significant capabilities in either broad range of missions…
  • p. 51 …Improved models of the radio-controlled The SA-9 and ZSU-23-4 are probably with…
  • p. 55 …All Pact countries have well-organized mobili- direct control of the VGK to tactical-level missions…
  • p. 58 …These have pervasive control over the soldier's activities and commanders are expected to be closely…
  • p. 59 …Frontal Aviation missions include counterair, ground attack, Warsaw Pact Fixed-Wing Tactical Aircraft reconnaissance, electronic warfare…
  • p. 62 …Pilot Training and Proficienc. 3Y US stand- facilities, hardening command and control facilities, and establishing pipeline…
  • p. 66 …control system which is designed to provide the coordination necessary to conduct close-in missions when…
  • p. 68 major ground formations is used by tactical controllers conventional weapons or to have an operational weap…
  • p. 71 …countries, are tailored primarily for control of guished by missions: antiship strike, reconnaissance those two seas…
  • p. 75 …missions of the Warsaw Pact's general purpose naval forces are to exercise sea control 110…
  • p. 84 …this mission. The combat radii of Soviet ASM-equipped naval Capabilities for Exercising Sea Control in…
  • p. 85 …signed missions; submarines would not neces-" The holders of the second view are the Director, Defense…
  • p. 87 …the Soviets, Poles, and East Germans other missions. Most bombers would be required for have the…
  • p. 118 …would be detached from national control. Re- - The Western TVD. This theater would include, sidual forces…
  • p. 122 …and control functions is central to Soviet control and integration of Pact military operations. Such groups…
  • p. 134 …against HEAT ammunition, the Soviets have incorpo- control and combat support communication links. rated composite or…
  • p. 135 …The Air Operation have been ascertained from classified missions assigned to the NSWP forces are intended…
  • p. 141 …Pact air forces to perform their primary missions in poor flying weather. ould be the preferred…
  • p. 143 …Others believe that no judgment with flying combat missions at low altitudes or over long any…
  • p. 158 …The establishment of control of the Norwegian drastically the likelihood of a major, preemptive at- and…
  • p. 163 …aircraft carrier probably would be unable secondary mission of antiship attack. The Kiev prob- to cope…
  • p. 175 …be building a mand and control and electronic warfare missions. force capable of siniultaneously lifting much…
  • p. 176 …The Pact's early warning network is scheduled current roles of sea control in limited areas…
  • p. 178 …We do not know how the Soviets assess the achieving sea control and in providing support…
  • p. 182 …subma- to control Pact forces once they are released from rines with peripheral missions declines, some…
  • p. 186 …Soviet sea control capabilities gravity to require an early Soviet counteraction. The against US carrier and…
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tubes mounted on a rotating pedestal similar to the tive in a conventional role against point targets. Soviet
SA-9. It was first observed in 1977 mounted on a forces also have the SS-12 Scaleboard and its follow-on,
3RDM-2 scout car. The A'T-6 Spiral was first ob- the SS-22, A new missile, the SS-21, is being deployed
served during a firing exercise in East Germany in to Soviet units as a replacement for the FROG. The
1978 being launched from modified Hind D helicop- FROG, the SS-21, and possibly the SS-22 also can carry
ters. Antitank (AT) guns and recoilless guns have not a cluster-munition warhead.
received the priority in development and deploy-
ment that the ATGM has in recent years. The 100- Warsaw Pact Ground Force Divisions
mm AT gun is standard in Soviet units, but 85-mm
antitank guns are retained in some, divisional and 31. Tank and motorized rifle divisions are the basic
nondivisional AT units. tactical units of Pact ground forces.' The Pact main-
tains a grand total of 217 active tank and motorized
28. NSWP forces have a wide variety of antitank rifle divisions (166 Soviet and 51 East European) at
weapons including recoilless guns, AT guns from 57- varying strengths in its peacetime ground forces. The
nm to 100-mm, and AT guided missiles. Except for a number of such divisions opposite NATO stands at
few Czechoslovak-produced weapons, all are of Soviet 154. (See table II-3 and figure 11-7). The Soviets have
origin. The East Germrans are equipped with the latest an additional 16 tank and motorized rifle divisions in
Soviet 100-mm antitank gun, the T-12/T-12A, but the the Moscow, Ural, Volga, and Turkestan Military
other forces retain older weapons of various calibers, Districts which could be used against NATO or
which are inferior to the better Soviet weapons. NSWP elsewhere.
forces are gradually improving their antiarmor capa-
bilities by acquiring more ATGM launcher vehicles 32. In peacetime, Pact divisions are maintained in
and manpack ATGM sets. The East Germans, Poles, various states of readiness suitable for the conduct of
and Romanians, for example, have received the AT-4 limited combat operations on short notice and for
Spigot. Only the East Germans are currently equipped generating large forces through rapid mobilization.
to Soviet standards with Sagger ATGM launcher vehi- We classify Pact ground force divisions according to
cles, but the Czechoslovaks are increasing the numbers our estimates of their peacetime manning and equip-
of ATGM launcher vehicles in their forces. ment levels:
29. Engineering Equipment. The principal sup- - Category I: These divisions are estimated to have
port task for the engineers is to help sustain the a full complement of combat equipment and
mobility of Pact offensive forces. The Pact has devel- more than three-fourths of their authorized war-
oped modern engineer and river-crossing equipment. time personnel. All divisions in the Soviet Groups
With the PMP ribbon bridge, the Soviets have spanned of Forces and eight East European divisions are
a river the size of the Rhine in approximately half an manned closer to wartime strength. All Category
hour during exercises. The Pact also has a large stock I divisions could be brought up to strength and
of ferries and tracked amphibious transporters, and a ready to move within 24 hours.
variety of mine-clearing vehicles which fire rocket-
propelled, explosive line charges to clear gaps in
minefields. In addition, the Pact has vehicles fitted Table II-3
with mine-clearing plows, light dozer blades, and
other mechanical devices. Vehicles such as these also Warsaw Pact Tank and Motorized Rifle
could be used to clear rubble and obstacles. Divisions Opposite NATO *
January 1979
30. Surface-to-Surface Missiles and Rockets.-
The Pact arsenal of rockets and surface-to-surface In Eastern Europe In the
missiles includes free rockets over ground (FROGs) Soviet NSWP USSR Total
and short-range ballistic missiles. All Pact ground
forces are equipped with FROGs and SS-1 Scuds, ank 16 15 22 53
which are capable of delivering conventional, as well Motorized Rifle 15 36 50 101
as chermical, and niuclear warheads. The poor accuracy *See footnote to table 11-1, following paragraph 3. See table B-1 in
of these systems would make them relatively ineffec- annex 13for detailed order of battle of Pact ground force divisions.
For a more detailed discussion of Pact tactical rockets and
missiles, see paragraphs 159 and 160 in this chapter. sPact airborne divisions are discussed in paragraphs 36 and 37.
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.