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Warsaw Pact Forces opposite NATO, NIE 11-14-79, Volume II, the Estimate, CIA/NFAC, 31 January 1979

Central Intelligence Agency · 201 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 35 …by - ty of Friendship Mutual Assistance; and Cooperation signed exercises, and by the size of the…
  • p. 165 …to keep ships, but also of their cooperation with each other and up with fast-moving…
Selected Mobile Air Defense Systems in Warsaw Pact Ground Forces Figure 11-5
SA-4 SA-6 SA-8 SA-9
Range (km)
Minimum 10 4 1 1.5
Maximum * 27 12 6.0
Altitude (m)
Minimum 100 25 50 15
Maximum 20,000 10,000-12,000 10,000 3,600
Guidance system Command Semiactive homing Command Infrared homing
Transporter Tracked Tracked Wheeled Wheeled
(launcher) (2 missiles) (3 missiles) (4 or 6 missiles) (4 missiles)
Year operational 1967 1970 1974 (4 missiles) 1968
1978 (6 missiles)
'There is disagreement over whether the maximum range of the
SA-4 is 50 or 80 kilometers.
579016 -9 c-
signed for use against helicopters and other slow-flying formed. Considering the relative ineffectiveness of
aircraft. The SA-9 missile is also an infrared system these AA systems, we are as yet unable to determine
but has a greater range than the SA-7 and is carried the mission of the divisions.
aboard a modified amphibious scout car. It is deployed
along with the ZSU-23-4 AA system as part of a 27. Antitank Weapons. The Soviet arsenal of
regimental air defense battery. The extent to which antitank weapons includes both guided missiles and
these systems have been deployed as replacements for artillery. (See figure II-6.) Antitank guided missiles
older AA systems is difficult to determine. We assume (ATGMs) are heliborne, vehicle mounted, and man
that all Pact forces have been equipped with the SA-7. portable. Improved models of the radio-controlled
The SA-9 and ZSU-23-4 are probably with the regi- AT-2 Swatter and wire-guided AT-3 Sagger with
ments of all combat-ready tank and motorized rifle semiautomatic guidance are mounted on modified
divisions and with approximately 30 percent of re- scout cars and helicopters. The Sagger can also be
duced-strength or cadre divisions. mounted on the BMP and BMD and is available in a
manpack version. Some first-generation Swatters and
26. The Soviets recently began forming antiaircraft Saggers are still in service. Three new ATGM sys-
divisions in the USSR which may be similar to their tems are also being deployed with Soviet forces. The
AA units of the World War II type. At least one of AT-4 Spigot man-portable ATGM, the AT-5 Span-
these units has been identified in COMINT, and drel vehicle-mounted system, and the AT-6 Spiral
additional units have been reported by human sources. heliborne system have all been observed recently
A minimum of 200 pieces of antiaircraft artillery has with the Soviet forces in East Germany. The vehicle-
been observed at each of eight installations in the mounted system, suitable also for helicopter mounts,
USSR, suggesting that additional divisions may be has a nonretractable launch rack with five launching
Il-8
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.