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Warsaw Pact Forces opposite NATO, NIE 11-14-79, Volume II, the Estimate, CIA/NFAC, 31 January 1979

Central Intelligence Agency · 201 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 114 …recently halted Soviet air operations from Conakry. These developments will obviously force the 257. Many officers…
  • p. 115 …order to keep other in establishing effective air cover over supporting lines units operational. of communication…
  • p. 185 …The Soviets could elect to provide combat forces scale commitment of manpower and materiel which to…
  • p. 187 …This force is occasionally aug- forces could not be safely transported by sea or air to…
  • p. 188 …a war, but they couldsome naval and air force weapons (including a few recently introduced Flogger…
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41. Since the late 1960s the Pact has adopted a for ammunition and fuel imposed by changed tactical
standardized command and control doctrine and has organization and doctrine and partly to increase the
begun to modernize its command and control proce- combat endurance of the forces in either nuclear or
dures and equipment. Providing impetus to Pact conventional war.
efforts to improve command and control are the
technological improvements in communication sys- 43. Pact theater forces have emerged from a dc-
tems andt thete growingcomleit ofegefutur combattes and the growing complexity of future combat ade of change with their fundamental orientation on
caused by the proliferation of modern weapon the tank intact, but with a more balanced structure for
systems. conventional war and with both conventional and
42. Pact ground force logistic capacity has also been nuclear firepower greatly increased. These changes,
improved, notably by large additions to motor trans- along with an infusion of more modern technology,
port and the development of improved support organi- have made Soviet theater forces competitive with
zations and equipment. These improvements have leading Western armies in sophistication of organiza-
been made partly to support the increased demands. tion and equipment.
-11
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_J

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.