Documents / FOIA release
This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.
“The Advance”37 pages
lop treaty. The Convention permits defensively oriented includes reconnaissance and signal intelligence efforts BW programs which the Soviets are known to have. to identify and locate NATO's electronic control sys- available evidence do not tems and to determine their vulnerabilities. In the treat oliensive use of biological weapons. We assume, Soviet view, radioelectronic combat is to be integrated however, that the Soviets are continuing research on into all phases of warfare, and we expect that NATO's biological agents, and that they have facilities which intelligence and electronic control systems at all levels could be used to produce biological weapons if a would be subject to concerted electronic and physical decision were made to do so. attack. E. Electronic Warfare F. Soviet Views of NATO's Military Capabilities 31. The Soviets have a broad-based policy concern- 32. The Soviets respect the capabilities of NATO's ing electronic warfare-"radioclectronic combat" in armed forces and are keenly aware of NATO's eco- the Soviet lexicon-and have made it a fundamental nomic potential and its ability, given time, to mobilize part of their battle planning at the tactical and additional forces. (See figure I-4.) In measuring the strategic level. The Soviet concept of radioelectronic magnitude of the threat in Europe, they probably combat is considerably broader than the US concept of include France, inasmuch as France is still a member electronic warfare. It encompasses jamming, camou- of NATO, continues to participate in some joint flage, concealment and deception, and operations to planning with NATO commanders, and maintains destroy NATO's intelligence and electronic control some 50,000 troops in West Germany. The Soviets systems, especially those for nuclear forces, while probably also weigh the potential contribution of non- protecting the USSR's own systems and forces. It also NATO countries such as Sweden and Spain. Selected Indexes of NATO and Warsaw Pact Military Potential Figure 14 Population Labor Force GNP Total Armed Forces Millions Millions Billion USS Thousands 565 5,606 4,911 1,206 Other 347 374 3,509 2,828 Other 113 - 235818 NATO Pact NATO Pact NATO Pact NATO Pact ~Set 579012 .,9 c,. 189
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.