Documents / FOIA release
Warsaw Pact Forces opposite NATO, NIE 11-14-79, Volume II, the Estimate, CIA/NFAC, 31 January 1979
Central Intelligence Agency · 201 pages · text from the file's own layer
This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.
“Mission Control”29 pages
- p. 25 …and subsidiary systems such
as command and control, radioelectronic combat (REC), and reconnais-
sance data link…
- p. 31 …Some of these submarines might alternatively have
missions of minelaying near NATO naval bases or patrolling…
- p. 33 …The Soviet Union views control of its East Euro- preparerd for any mission, froni defending against…
- p. 42 …The USSR attributes a littoral of Europe have significant capabilities in either
broad range of missions…
- p. 51 …Improved models of the radio-controlled
The SA-9 and ZSU-23-4 are probably with…
- p. 55 …All Pact countries have well-organized mobili- direct control of the VGK to tactical-level missions…
- p. 58 …These have pervasive control over the soldier's activities and
commanders are expected to be closely…
- p. 59 …Frontal
Aviation missions include counterair, ground attack, Warsaw Pact Fixed-Wing Tactical Aircraft
reconnaissance, electronic warfare…
- p. 62 …Pilot Training and Proficienc. 3Y US stand-
facilities, hardening command and control facilities,
and establishing pipeline…
- p. 66 …control system which is designed to provide
the coordination necessary to conduct close-in missions
when…
- p. 68 major ground formations is used by tactical controllers conventional weapons or to have an operational weap…
- p. 71 …countries, are tailored primarily for control of guished by missions: antiship strike, reconnaissance
those two seas…
- p. 75 …missions of the Warsaw Pact's
general purpose naval forces are to exercise sea control
110…
- p. 84 …this mission.
The combat radii of Soviet ASM-equipped naval
Capabilities for Exercising Sea Control in…
- p. 85 …signed missions; submarines would not neces-" The holders of the second view are the Director, Defense…
- p. 87 …the Soviets, Poles, and East Germans
other missions. Most bombers would be required for have the…
- p. 118 …would be detached from national control. Re- - The Western TVD. This theater would include,
sidual forces…
- p. 122 …and control functions is central to Soviet control and
integration of Pact military operations. Such groups…
- p. 134 …against HEAT ammunition, the Soviets have incorpo- control and combat support communication links.
rated composite or…
- p. 135 …The Air Operation have been ascertained from classified
missions assigned to the NSWP forces are intended…
- p. 141 …Pact air forces to perform
their primary missions in poor flying weather. ould be the preferred…
- p. 143 …Others believe that no judgment with
flying combat missions at low altitudes or over long any…
- p. 158 …The establishment of control of the Norwegian drastically the likelihood of a major, preemptive at-
and…
- p. 163 …aircraft carrier probably would be unable secondary mission of antiship attack. The Kiev prob-
to cope…
- p. 175 …be building a
mand and control and electronic warfare missions. force capable of siniultaneously lifting much…
- p. 176 …The Pact's early warning network is scheduled current roles of sea control in limited areas…
- p. 178 …We do not know how the Soviets assess the achieving sea control and in providing support…
- p. 182 …subma- to control Pact forces once they are released from
rines with peripheral missions declines, some…
- p. 186 …Soviet sea control capabilities gravity to require an early Soviet counteraction. The
against US carrier and…
Estimated Soviet Expenditures for Defense, 1967-77 Figure 1-2
C. Percentage Distribution
A. Estimated Total Expenditures of Estimated Total Expenditures,1967-77
Billion 1970 Rubles Calculated in 1970 Rubles
/0
20 Research, Development, Testing, and
b0- -_ Evaluation
9 ~ Strategic Attack and
9 Defense Forces
22 Support Forces
SU Peripheral Attack Forces
20
Announced Defense Expenditures (current prices) 39' General Purpose Forces
10
I I I 1 1
1967 69 71 73 75 77
Estimate defined as the Soviets might view their defense effort
Estimate defined for comparison with US accounts. Expenditures shown in charts B and C represent spending
on investment for and-operation of generalpurposeperiph-
eral attack, strategic, and support forces. These expenditures
B. Index of Growth of Estimated Total Expenditures are derived from our latest estimate of order-of-battle data on
for Procurement and Operation of Peripheral Attack deployed forces and the costs associated with these forces.
and General Purpose Forces The expenditures shown here differ from the breakdown given
Calculated in 1970 Rubles in NIE 11-3/8-78, which includes expenditures for peripher-
1967=100 al attack forces within expenditures for strategic forces. Not
200 included in expenditures for general purpose and peripheral
attack forces shown in charts B and C are:
150 * Outlays for military research, development, testing, and
evaluation relating to general purpose or peripheral at-
tack force weapon systems.
100 Costs of nuclear weapons allocated to general purpose
and peripheral attack forces. Because most of the nu-
clear weapons are utilized by the strategic forces, all
nuclear weapons costs have been included with those
b___forces. Nuclear weapons total about 2 percent of esti-
mated Soviet expenditures.
* Costs of support forces associated with general pur-
- pose and peripheral attack forces.
1967 69 71 73 75 77
577619 1-79 CIA
1-4
j 7Top ~eLt
Not linked to a story yet.
About this file
FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.