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Warsaw Pact Forces opposite NATO, NIE 11-14-79, Volume II, the Estimate, CIA/NFAC, 31 January 1979

Central Intelligence Agency · 201 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 35 …by - ty of Friendship Mutual Assistance; and Cooperation signed exercises, and by the size of the…
  • p. 165 …to keep ships, but also of their cooperation with each other and up with fast-moving…
Estimated Soviet Expenditures for Defense, 1967-77 Figure 1-2
C. Percentage Distribution
A. Estimated Total Expenditures of Estimated Total Expenditures,1967-77
Billion 1970 Rubles Calculated in 1970 Rubles
/0
20 Research, Development, Testing, and
b0- -_ Evaluation
9 ~ Strategic Attack and
9 Defense Forces
22 Support Forces
SU Peripheral Attack Forces
20
Announced Defense Expenditures (current prices) 39' General Purpose Forces
10
I I I 1 1
1967 69 71 73 75 77
Estimate defined as the Soviets might view their defense effort
Estimate defined for comparison with US accounts. Expenditures shown in charts B and C represent spending
on investment for and-operation of generalpurposeperiph-
eral attack, strategic, and support forces. These expenditures
B. Index of Growth of Estimated Total Expenditures are derived from our latest estimate of order-of-battle data on
for Procurement and Operation of Peripheral Attack deployed forces and the costs associated with these forces.
and General Purpose Forces The expenditures shown here differ from the breakdown given
Calculated in 1970 Rubles in NIE 11-3/8-78, which includes expenditures for peripher-
1967=100 al attack forces within expenditures for strategic forces. Not
200 included in expenditures for general purpose and peripheral
attack forces shown in charts B and C are:
150 * Outlays for military research, development, testing, and
evaluation relating to general purpose or peripheral at-
tack force weapon systems.
100 Costs of nuclear weapons allocated to general purpose
and peripheral attack forces. Because most of the nu-
clear weapons are utilized by the strategic forces, all
nuclear weapons costs have been included with those
b___forces. Nuclear weapons total about 2 percent of esti-
mated Soviet expenditures.
* Costs of support forces associated with general pur-
- pose and peripheral attack forces.
1967 69 71 73 75 77
577619 1-79 CIA
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.