Documents / FOIA release

Warsaw Pact Forces opposite NATO, NIE 11-14-79, Volume II, the Estimate, CIA/NFAC, 31 January 1979

Central Intelligence Agency · 201 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 24 in NIE 11-4-78, Soviet Goals and Expectations in the Global Power Arena. We proceed…
  • p. 25 …We foresee no development over the next several years which would appreciably alter the basic Pact…
  • p. 26 …advances and ensure that combat potentials are fully realized. We expect a modest decline in the…
  • p. 28 …where the outcome is in serious doubt, the attractiveness of SLOC interdiction in advance of a…
  • p. 37 …qualitative and numerical advances in their forward- 12. Despite the Soviets' having adopted a policy for…
  • p. 40 …permit the high rates of appreciation of the risks and rewards of introducing advance which they…
  • p. 46 …The holders sion system, a more advanced and more powerful of this view are the Director…
  • p. 57 …The Soviets are attempting to provide quick difficulties in recruiting personnel for these programs. advancement and…
  • p. 63 combat capability of these units continues to be and 40 percent of the force is equipped…
  • p. 68 …reconnaissance erated by new, advanced air munitions are justified to units. The Soviets believe that a…
  • p. 69 …The Soviets have made some advances in irnproved infrared seeker, improved motors, and possi- streamlining their…
  • p. 85 …advance of a conflict goes up. signed missions; submarines would not neces-" The holders of the…
  • p. 103 …the immediate path of a Soviet advance probably They would be used against personnel in the…
  • p. 106 …judge the soundness of these Pact planning but representative models of this more advanced factors in…
  • p. 108 …the ability to sustain the momentum of an advance is determined not only by the availability…
  • p. 112 Top e ammunition, bombs, and rockets and some 23,700 tons duration, but could affect the…
  • p. 114 …emergency without the necessity of advanced notices and prior coordination. Thus, before the begin- ning of…
  • p. 119 …The Pact has made advance preparations to activated, their signal support units establish the con- man…
  • p. 126 …advance, Pact planners hope to overrun, penetrate, or bypass NATO 9. Pact planning for the Western…
  • p. 132 …Circumstances permitting, the Pact would build of advance. Depending on the importance of the axis up…
  • p. 133 …then disperse, continuing the barrage, the assaulting infantry and tank units, using advance or exploitation along…
  • p. 134 …Respites from combat would be used to Germany, and advance toward crossings over the restore the…
  • p. 147 …surface ships into the important for maintaining a high rate of advance North Sea prior to…
  • p. 149 …would use force to advance through Yugoslavia to 119. Against the Dardanelles and the Bosporus. attack…
  • p. 150 …overcome Turkish dlefenses and secure the and to advance to the Aegean Sea and from there…
  • p. 151 …In Initial Naval Operations in the Black Sea these exercises six Soviet divisions notionally advance 126…
  • p. 153 …Backfire strike aircraft can cover virtually the several hours in advance of the attack. Soviet ships…
  • p. 157 doubtful ability of ground forces advancing across land-based NATO air defense forces in northern and…
  • p. 172 …The changes will improve radiation weapons and advanced cruise missiles-may the combined-arms capabilities of…
  • p. 173 …The number of SP guns in the East German, Soviets are likely to continue the advances…
  • p. 174 …technology is believed to be more advanced speeds than the other Pact fighter-bombers. for these…
  • p. 175 …Soviet Military Trans- survivability of the helicopter in an advanced air port Aviation (VTA) will continue…
  • p. 176 …ships, submarines, and aircraft replace less capable units and the technology of cruise missiles is advanced…
  • p. 179 …the new LPDs and about six Ropuchas by the mid- Given the effort placed on advanced…
  • p. 180 …for defense beyond 20 nm, as well as more advanced 82. Tactical ASW Missiles. The SS…
  • p. 183 …support the developing centralized command struc- and the acquisition of some advanced electronic ture. The VAKSS…
  • p. 185 …The Soviets probably would consider that advances into Soviet territory during the early stages the risks…
Table 13-3
Disposition of Warsaw Pact Tactical helicopter Forces,
January 1979
ombathtIleli-orte
Grotlnd Attack b AssaulTrampail Supptl Helicopters I
Total Total Total
aGround Alouete Assault Alouette Total Total Fast Crand
MI 2-2 Attack Ml-1/2 M-i4 NIl-8 Mb6 M[-10 III Tranortor MI-1/2 MI- MI-8 KA-26 III Puma MI-6 MI-10 Supoert Soviet European Total
Oromile NATO Central It-ion
East European ........ .... 25 -- 25 225 110 75 - - -- 410 50 20 5 - -- - - - 75 - 510 . 510
Soviet - - - 15 230 245 5 25 2J5 95 5 - 425- 330 25 160 -.-. - - 45 - 560 1.230 - 1.230
Total OtositCentral lcgion 40 230 270 230 135 370 95 5 - 835 380 45 165 - - - -- 45 -- 635 1,230 510 1.740
Helicopterson NATO's Flanks
East Eurotpran . --- - -- 40 30 60 - - 15 14S5 In 5 5 15 5 Io - - 50 - 195 - 195
Sonvi... . .. . -. 40 40 -- 22 25U 135 - - 405 155 10 65 -- - - 5 - 235 680 - 680
Total on NATO's Flanks . - 40 40 0 50 310 135 -- 15 550 165 15 70 15 5 IC 5 - 285 680 195 875
Other SovIet Helicoters
in Eatern USSi.... -- 1.15 15 15 63 295 95 5 - 475 175 40 120 - - - 20 5 360 950 - 950
Ebehret- -. .-- 25 25 5 10 125 55 - - 195 30 15 30 - -- - 5 -- 80 300 - 300
Total Other Soviet Ieos -. - 140 140 20 75 420 150 5 - 670 205 55 150 - -- -- 25 5 440 1,250 - 1,250
Total Warswra. ....-.-..... 41 410 450 200 260 11100 380 10 15 2,055 750 115 385 15 5 10 75 5 1,360 3,160 705 385
0f rwhich
Soviet ........... _... ....... 15 410 425 25 120 A65 380 10 - 1.500 600 90 375 - - - 75 5 1.235 3.160 - 3.160
East European .....-.- .. 25 - 25 265 140 135 -- --- 15 555 0 25 10 15 5 10 - 125 - 705 705
Inhlrdesall helicpters (exetol thote sedas trans, in storage,in maintenance,or In repair deptts) assigned to Warsaw IIncludesonly thosehelicoptersasgnd to tells which haoe a prmasy mission of ftrasporting tssal toops and theil
Pact tacticalair forces.Does not include helicoptersassionedto national ai defense and n aval forces. associatedcargointoan obietivc area.This designationdoes not necemsarilyelude the capability to perform othercombatorIIncludesonly thoe, helicopters assignedto units which hta a primary misio of attackisgground targetswith rockets, lartt missions.
haohr ad/or unat This designationdoes not nesessaily e.clude the capability to perform other embat or siprtmsions. 4 Includesonlyt hse helicoptersasiged to unitswhich have primarymissionsof aupportto combat operationsby erovidint
services such as logistic support,reconuaissanceartillerystortinr,medicalevacuation.communicationsrelay, eletronic worfare,
or aidorne, commad Posts. This designationdoes not necessarily exclude the capability to perform combaltriions.
B-7
|/!I! op

Not linked to a story yet.

About this file

FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.