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Warsaw Pact Forces opposite NATO, NIE 11-14-79, Volume II, the Estimate, CIA/NFAC, 31 January 1979

Central Intelligence Agency · 201 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 20 …Unlike NATO, the Warsaw Pact does not have theater headquarters in being in peacetime, although hardened…
  • p. 21 …control of the Western and Southwestern TVD headquarters-often called High Commands by the Soviets. The…
  • p. 26 …links could be established to theater-level headquarters and to supporting strategic cornmands. Communications, between Moscow…
  • p. 35 …Surprise in the known: ' Soviet view can be achieved through many means- Administrative Structure HeadQuartered in…
  • p. 55 …The Soviets Headquarters in Moscow and are considered strategic maintain a total of 15 such divisions…
  • p. 72 …PO A ; re -t { - Black Sea Fleet ROMANI A -UGM (Dsevastopo - BUGRAFleet Caspian headquarters Black Sea…
  • p. 74 …Readiness from Naval Headquarters in Moscow, from fleet Home Waters 40 Operable headquarters,.or by command…
  • p. 114 …reported to fleet headquarters, a practice we did not 259. Forward Basing. To support their worldwide…
  • p. 117 …Some do not have Ground Forces headquarters; some have d. Not all have naval commands. Military…
  • p. 118 …in Soviet maritime strategy is the MTVD, headquarters in being in peacetime. Hardened com- the Maritime…
  • p. 119 …The headquarters staffs and communications after full mobilization; a more typical front would support elements of…
  • p. 122 …Representatives of the Headquarters of the 14. The Soviets intend to maintain centralized con- Warsaw Pact…
  • p. 182 …The number of older ballistic missile subma- links could be established to theater-level headquarters rincs…
  • p. 183 …communications system for use between major fixed headquarters. 108. Logistic Support. Improvements in the logis- tic…
To-p beeroll
Table 1B-1
Disposition of Warsaw Pact Grotmd Forces
January 1979
CategoryI Categov It Catetry III Total
TI) Mil) Ablln Ide TD MDl) Abn de TD MRD Ab, Ide Div Oide
DivisionsOpposite NATO Central Regin
Cast CEuroocan
EastG ........... 2 4 - - - - - - - - - 6 -
P'olaud ........ ...... .... .. 5 3 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 15. -
Czecoslovai........ 3 4 - 1 2 - - - 10 -
TS F.otalF- Euroean ........ .... 2..... 10 11 1- 4 - - 2 2 - - 31. -
S-.iet
CSFC(CastCermany). . 10 10 20 -
N F P l n) .. .. ...... .. .... .......... 2 - - . - - - - - 2 -
CF(oCzechosslovakhi .. .. .. 2 .2 - - - -. - -- - -- - - 5 -
Ialic MlD ...............-..... . ... - - I - 2 I - - I 4 I - 10 -
iklorssian l ...... ....- - - - I -
Carpatian MD .......... .... - - - - I 2 - .- 2 0 - - 1 -
To l Soviet ................ ....................... 14 14 2 - 3 3 - - 11 II I - 59 -
Total Oprosile CentralRegion ............. ... 24 25 3 - A 7 - - 13 13 1 - 90' -
Divisions on NATO' Fanks
tEast Euroorean
1ungar -_...................... ......... I 2 - - - I - - -- 2 - - 6 -
Iulgaria . ..... . . ... - 6 - 3 I - - - 6 7
Romi ..... .. .- 5 - 2 - 3 - - - - ~ -- 10 2
Tolal ad Euoean..... .................... 3 10 - 8 - 7 -- - 2 - - 22 9.
Soviet
SCF(0ungay). ... . . 2 2 - - - -- - - -- - - - - 4 -
OdessaMD .. . . ...... . - - I - -- I - 6 - - 8 -
Kiev MD .................................. .............. . - - - - 1 - - - 6 4 - - 11 -
North Caucasus MD ...... . .. - - - - I - - - -- 5 - - 6 -
Transeaucas MD .. .... - 1 - - 2 - - - 9 - - 12 -
Leningrad l ... ....... - I 1 - - I - -- - 6 - - 9 -
TotalSoet. .... ....... 2 3 3 - 2 4 - - 6 30 - - 50 -
Iotalon NATOc lanks . ... ............... S 1 3 8 2 1i - I 6 32 - - 72 9
Other Soviet tivisions
I1t the Eastern USSR and Afongolioa
SovietForcesinMongolia....... ..... - - 1 -- - -- - - - -- 3 -
COntralAsiaMl) .. . . .......--.--. 2 - - -- 3 - -- 7 -
Sibi ajnrMD ............................ ................... ... - - - - - . - 4 - - 5 -
Tnr baykal MD ................... ..................... 1 3 - - - 2 - - 1 3 - - 10 -
Far East MD....................... --- 5 - - 1s 6 - - - 10, - - 22' -
Total in Eastern USSR and Mongolia ... ..... 3 10 - - 2 iI - - 1 20 - - 47 -
i tifrewhere
Moscow M D . .... .............. .... .... ......... - - I - 1 I - - -- :2 - - 7 -
Ural Nil ............. ......... ..... - 1 2 - - 3 -
Volga MD . . ......... ........-.---.-.-.--.-.-.-- --- 3 - - 3 -
TurkestanNil) . . . . . - - 1 - - I - - - - - 5 -
Totalse e .......... ....... - - 2 -- 1 2 - - 2 11 - - I8 -
Toal Other SovietlDivisions....................... 3 10 2 - 3 13 - - 3 3I -. - 65 -
Totai Warsaw Pact ............... .............. 32 48 8 8 8 31 - 1 22 76 1 - 227 9
Sioit ....... .. ...... ....... ...... 19 27 3 - 20 - -. 22 7l -.- 1N -
F- sotEuro a . ..... .. ... .... ... 13 21 1 0 - i -- I 2 5 - - 53' 9
Slicudlesa CategoryI Polishsea landing divosi of soce 4,400men which is nol Iiced in categoy ccocums
'This division dcos not colorn to the standardTO&E of a tank divisinn and may be eprcimcenol.
v Five tank brigares andone irainingbrigade, the latter designated for wacime expsiocn to a mtorizld rifle division.
o Peacetime trainig brigade deigoated for waitime eoansion to mltorizel rifle division,
e M ucntain lr e brigades,
f Incde ncediviion which is in the oreof bei unscadel fram a obiht.atio (seennhenecation) division a active o
e includesthree motorizd rifle divisionsof the Fa, Est Mihtaiv Districtwhih. beause of thciic emote tocations in Sakhalinand Kamchatka.areno 1odered to be deoloyed
ociosite China.
8-3
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.