Documents / FOIA release
This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.
“R.G.”2 pages
Top Secret RUFF UMBRA Option II: Three Fronts Figure IV-2 Pol. Warsaw Pact Options r 5so for Initial Attack Force in the Central Region ~ EAST Bern GERMANY Warsaw - , EastGerman- WEST .Soviet Front - o POLAND U.S.S.R. GERMANY Option II: Two Fronts Prague - - - C echoslovak- - Soviet Front Carpsta n ( ,, ~ .- -- CZECHOSLOVAKIA Eh'. ' A USTRIA- - ~~-EAST y .r" HUNGARY Sorelish Fronm SoITE RN oa-iaa4] ._ UGAYG BRMANY WarsawOANI GEast NYGra ;The Warsaw Pact envisinse a basic force of three frontsas the first echelonof an attackons GermanY NATO. As depictedin Pact doctrineand exercises, this three-tront force includes 50 to 60 groundSovet Front E divisions plus supportdandracica air unit. About erght days would be reeded 0prepare WET 'POLAND U.S.S.R this force. GERMANY Prague"I Czechoslovek-FRAScE Soviet Front - CFi tsE' --- CZECHOSLOVAEIA -~i~ 1 Option IV: Five Fronts AUSTRIA - nWif2ERLAND1 5M0 %i HUNGARYi The smallest force the Pact might use to starttheater offensive operationsprobablywouldcon- -r - pFroM sisr of two fronts-a total of some40 ground divisions plus support and tacticalair units. In the -n mneturgentcircumstances, the Pactwould need about four daysto preparethisforce Attackwith . ' Belorussian slightly less than fourdays is possible, but the complexity of the operation and the risks attending NETH EAST ( Front insuficimet preparationwouldlikolycausethe Sovietsto takemorethan iour daysto prepare -Berlin this horce. 'GERMANY - Warsaw - East.Gorman-. WEST Soviet Front i "carpathhan POLAND U.S.S.R. GERMANY Frent I iPraguer I Ceechoslok- FRANCE - SovietFront CZECHOSLOVAKIA Estalishmenr of a five-frontposture-someBOto 90 ground dvisions-before initiating an often- ) A siue againstNATOwould fultill Sovietconservativedoctrinalpreferencesto the eaten possiblein SWITZERLAND te u. f HUNGARY pracicalterms ard would take abouttwo weeksto achieve OMANIA SECRET IV-5 TCS 2267-79111 Top Secret
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.