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Warsaw Pact Forces opposite NATO, NIE 11-14-79, Volume II, the Estimate, CIA/NFAC, 31 January 1979

Central Intelligence Agency · 201 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 25 …and subsidiary systems such as command and control, radioelectronic combat (REC), and reconnais- sance data link…
  • p. 31 …Some of these submarines might alternatively have missions of minelaying near NATO naval bases or patrolling…
  • p. 33 …The Soviet Union views control of its East Euro- preparerd for any mission, froni defending against…
  • p. 42 …The USSR attributes a littoral of Europe have significant capabilities in either broad range of missions…
  • p. 51 …Improved models of the radio-controlled The SA-9 and ZSU-23-4 are probably with…
  • p. 55 …All Pact countries have well-organized mobili- direct control of the VGK to tactical-level missions…
  • p. 58 …These have pervasive control over the soldier's activities and commanders are expected to be closely…
  • p. 59 …Frontal Aviation missions include counterair, ground attack, Warsaw Pact Fixed-Wing Tactical Aircraft reconnaissance, electronic warfare…
  • p. 62 …Pilot Training and Proficienc. 3Y US stand- facilities, hardening command and control facilities, and establishing pipeline…
  • p. 66 …control system which is designed to provide the coordination necessary to conduct close-in missions when…
  • p. 68 major ground formations is used by tactical controllers conventional weapons or to have an operational weap…
  • p. 71 …countries, are tailored primarily for control of guished by missions: antiship strike, reconnaissance those two seas…
  • p. 75 …missions of the Warsaw Pact's general purpose naval forces are to exercise sea control 110…
  • p. 84 …this mission. The combat radii of Soviet ASM-equipped naval Capabilities for Exercising Sea Control in…
  • p. 85 …signed missions; submarines would not neces-" The holders of the second view are the Director, Defense…
  • p. 87 …the Soviets, Poles, and East Germans other missions. Most bombers would be required for have the…
  • p. 118 …would be detached from national control. Re- - The Western TVD. This theater would include, sidual forces…
  • p. 122 …and control functions is central to Soviet control and integration of Pact military operations. Such groups…
  • p. 134 …against HEAT ammunition, the Soviets have incorpo- control and combat support communication links. rated composite or…
  • p. 135 …The Air Operation have been ascertained from classified missions assigned to the NSWP forces are intended…
  • p. 141 …Pact air forces to perform their primary missions in poor flying weather. ould be the preferred…
  • p. 143 …Others believe that no judgment with flying combat missions at low altitudes or over long any…
  • p. 158 …The establishment of control of the Norwegian drastically the likelihood of a major, preemptive at- and…
  • p. 163 …aircraft carrier probably would be unable secondary mission of antiship attack. The Kiev prob- to cope…
  • p. 175 …be building a mand and control and electronic warfare missions. force capable of siniultaneously lifting much…
  • p. 176 …The Pact's early warning network is scheduled current roles of sea control in limited areas…
  • p. 178 …We do not know how the Soviets assess the achieving sea control and in providing support…
  • p. 182 …subma- to control Pact forces once they are released from rines with peripheral missions declines, some…
  • p. 186 …Soviet sea control capabilities gravity to require an early Soviet counteraction. The against US carrier and…
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Fleets being fielded. Some common computer programs are
being used for logistics and battle management sup-
13. In wartime, the Pact would have two combined port at army level and above.
fleets opposite NATO: the Baltic and Black Sea Com-
bined Fleets, both under Soviet Command. The Com-
bined Baltic Fleet would consist of elements from the
Soviet Baltic Fleet and from the Polish and East
German Navies. The Combined Black Sea Fleet would
be formed from the Soviet Black Sea Fleet and the
Romanian and Bulgarian Navies. The Soviets' North- 18. Soviet military writings indicate that, at times,
ern Fleet and the Soviet Fifth Squadron (Eskadra) in the actions of theater commands (High Commands)
the Mediterranean would support Pact operations and front commands would be coordinated and moni-
under the control of the Main Naval Staff in Moscow, tored by representatives of the VGK and General Staff
although in some cases control might be exercised by deployed from Moscow to the field. These representa-
continental theater-level commands. tives would interpret the VGK's orders, report on
progress and problems, and help the commanders
B. Measures for Control of Combined obtain support from Moscow command authorities.
Operations 19. Representatives of the Headquarters of the
14. The Soviets intend to maintain centralized con- Warsaw Pact-all Soviet officers-provide liaison be-
trol of all Pact military operations. To this end they tween Pact headquarters and national general staffs
have devised a variety of mechanisms to facilitate and monitor NSWP forces to ensure conformity with
their control over Pact planning, training, and Soviet requirements. Except in Romania, these repre-
communications. sentatives appear to have access to most aspects of
NSWP military decisionmaking, planning, and oper-
War Plans ations. They have large staffs to assist them and special
communications that provide access to key NSWP
15. The Soviet General Staff develops strategic ob- leaders as well as to the Pact's Headquarters and the
jectives for the Pact, and assigns specific missions and Soviet General Staff. Also, senior Soviet officers are
planning guidelines to Soviet commands and to the assigned to all major NSWP command elements and,
General Staffs of the non-Soviet Warsaw Pact (NSWP) at least in East Germany, down to division level. We
countries. In turn, these commands and staffs prepare expect these officers would remain at their posts
detailed operational plans and NSWP planners obtain during wartime.
national approval. The Soviet General Staff reviews
and gives final approval to all plans to ensure that Operations Groups
operations are fully integrated throughout the theater
and consistent with the accomplishment of Soviet 20. The use of operations groups to perform liaison
objectives. and control functions is central to Soviet control and
integration of Pact military operations. Such groups
Standardization were used during World War II to integrate Soviet and
East European. operations and are widely used in
16. The adoption of Soviet military doctrine in the contemporary exercises. Officers and supporting com-
NSWP forces has produced a high degree of standard- munications elements are sent from service headquar-
ization in training and command and control proce- ters to major field commands, from superior to subor-
dures. This doctrine is propagated by frequent exer- dinate echelons, and laterally between commands to
cises and by training NSWP officers in Soviet military facilitate coordination. In the Pact context, perhaps
academies. It is reinforced by the use of Russian as the the most important operations groups would be those
official language for combined Pact military oper- sent to NSWP fronts by local Soviet headquarters to
ations and by various standard operating procedures integrate those NSWP fronts into the overall Soviet
and formats that minimize language difficulties. General Staff command system.
17. Pact standardization is being increasingly
reflected in communications equipment and'in auto-
mated command and staff information support sys-
tems. Common radio equipment of various types is
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.