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Warsaw Pact Forces opposite NATO, NIE 11-14-79, Volume II, the Estimate, CIA/NFAC, 31 January 1979

Central Intelligence Agency · 201 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 25 …and subsidiary systems such as command and control, radioelectronic combat (REC), and reconnais- sance data link…
  • p. 31 …Some of these submarines might alternatively have missions of minelaying near NATO naval bases or patrolling…
  • p. 33 …The Soviet Union views control of its East Euro- preparerd for any mission, froni defending against…
  • p. 42 …The USSR attributes a littoral of Europe have significant capabilities in either broad range of missions…
  • p. 51 …Improved models of the radio-controlled The SA-9 and ZSU-23-4 are probably with…
  • p. 55 …All Pact countries have well-organized mobili- direct control of the VGK to tactical-level missions…
  • p. 58 …These have pervasive control over the soldier's activities and commanders are expected to be closely…
  • p. 59 …Frontal Aviation missions include counterair, ground attack, Warsaw Pact Fixed-Wing Tactical Aircraft reconnaissance, electronic warfare…
  • p. 62 …Pilot Training and Proficienc. 3Y US stand- facilities, hardening command and control facilities, and establishing pipeline…
  • p. 66 …control system which is designed to provide the coordination necessary to conduct close-in missions when…
  • p. 68 major ground formations is used by tactical controllers conventional weapons or to have an operational weap…
  • p. 71 …countries, are tailored primarily for control of guished by missions: antiship strike, reconnaissance those two seas…
  • p. 75 …missions of the Warsaw Pact's general purpose naval forces are to exercise sea control 110…
  • p. 84 …this mission. The combat radii of Soviet ASM-equipped naval Capabilities for Exercising Sea Control in…
  • p. 85 …signed missions; submarines would not neces-" The holders of the second view are the Director, Defense…
  • p. 87 …the Soviets, Poles, and East Germans other missions. Most bombers would be required for have the…
  • p. 118 …would be detached from national control. Re- - The Western TVD. This theater would include, sidual forces…
  • p. 122 …and control functions is central to Soviet control and integration of Pact military operations. Such groups…
  • p. 134 …against HEAT ammunition, the Soviets have incorpo- control and combat support communication links. rated composite or…
  • p. 135 …The Air Operation have been ascertained from classified missions assigned to the NSWP forces are intended…
  • p. 141 …Pact air forces to perform their primary missions in poor flying weather. ould be the preferred…
  • p. 143 …Others believe that no judgment with flying combat missions at low altitudes or over long any…
  • p. 158 …The establishment of control of the Norwegian drastically the likelihood of a major, preemptive at- and…
  • p. 163 …aircraft carrier probably would be unable secondary mission of antiship attack. The Kiev prob- to cope…
  • p. 175 …be building a mand and control and electronic warfare missions. force capable of siniultaneously lifting much…
  • p. 176 …The Pact's early warning network is scheduled current roles of sea control in limited areas…
  • p. 178 …We do not know how the Soviets assess the achieving sea control and in providing support…
  • p. 182 …subma- to control Pact forces once they are released from rines with peripheral missions declines, some…
  • p. 186 …Soviet sea control capabilities gravity to require an early Soviet counteraction. The against US carrier and…
older ships, are the only ones capable of underway ments, these generally have not been adequate. Resup-
refueling alongside. The remaining smaller oilers are ,ply of fresh water remains a major requirement.
restricted to using the bow-to-stern method where only
one ship is serviced, either by replenishment under 251. The Soviet Navy is also deficient in its ability
way at slow speed, by lying dead in the water, or at to replenish dry cargo while under way. Soviet stores
anchor. The Soviets continue to practice the bow-to- and refrigerator ships are not capable of underway
stern method more frequently than alongside refuel- transfer, but the six replenishment oilers in the Soviet
ing. Diesel submarines are fueled at anchor. We western fleets can carry dry cargo and have a limited
believe these limitations would constrain Soviet ability capability to transfer while under way. The Soviets
to sustain operations at sea. rarely have been observed practicing this, however,
and instead conduct almost all reprovisioning while
247. A major constraint on extended combat oper- dead in the water, at anchor, or in port.
ations by Soviet missile armed ships and submarines is
their generally small supply of onboard weapons 252. Shipboard Maintenance and Damage Con-
reloads. trol. The sustainability of individual ships in combat is
directly related to the availability of onboard spare
parts and the ability of crews to maintain equipment
under the rigors of combat and to repair battle
damage at sea quickly and effectively. Most modern
combatants and submarines in the Soviet Navy prob-
ably have sufficient spares to permit them to accom-
plish their initial wartime tasks before resorting to
resupply. Although Soviet naval crews probably would
248 The amount of provisions carried aboard prin- be capable of handling most routine repairs, they are
cipal Soviet surface combatants and submarines varies by and large still poorly equipped and trained for
with the age and type of unit. Ships of the Kiev and damage control.
Moskva class, nuclear submarines, and long-range
diesel submarines are believed to carry at least 60 days 253. Because of their heavy reliance on depot main-
of supplies, while Kara and Kresta-Il units and medium- tenance and repair, the Soviets have not developed an
range diesel submarines carry an estimated 40-day extensive capability to maintain and repair ships at
load. The older cruisers and newer destroyers hold sea. Soviet shipboard maintenance and repair prac-
sufficient provisions for 30 (lays of operation, while tices, therefore, are not optimized for sustaining com-
older destroyers and frigates are self-sufficient for bat operations at sea and, in our judgment, would
about 20 days. constitute a constraint on sustained operations. Aboard
ship the Soviets currently use a scheduled inspection
249. The Soviet Navy has the capability for dead- and maintenance system which requires maintenance
in-the-water munitions replenishment but only a mar- to be performed periodically. Much shipboard main-
ginal capability for underway transfer of munitions. tenance and most repairs are accomplished by officers
There have been examples of underway munitions and warrant officers rather than by enlisted personnel
resupply at sea, but, on the whole, the Soviets have because of the low technical proficiency of the latter.
thus far preferred to handle munitions transfer at The officers are extensively trained in their fields of
anchorages and ports. The lack of training in at-sea specialization and are able to repair most routine
munitions resupply, like that of refueling, places a equipment and machinery malfunctions.
limitation on the Soviet Navy's ability to maintain
combat-capable forces at sea for extended periods, 254. Although we have limited information on
particularly in those sea and ocean areas vhere transit Soviet damage control procedures and effectiveness,
times to sources of supply are long. there is ample evidence that damage control requires
improvement. Four major incidents at sea, between
250. Soviet combatants,are deficient in their capa- 1968 and 1974 resulted in substantial casualties and
bility to make fresh water. The Navy requires fresh may have been aggravated by the lack of an effective
water for crews and for boilers of steam-driven ships, damage control organization.
which make up the majority of Soviet principal sur-
face combatants. Although Soviet ships usually have
evaporators to distill seawater for shipboard require-
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.