Documents / FOIA release
This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.
“The Advance”37 pages
SCOPE NOTE National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79 is concerned with Warsaw Pact forces that are available for use against NATO.* It assesses the present and future capabilities of these forces for conventional, chemical, and theater nuclear warfare. It generally covers a period of five years in its future considerations but extends to 1.0 years where the information allows. This Estimate does not provide detailed treatment of Soviet forces along the Sino-Soviet border, the Soviet Pacific Fleet, or other forces in the Soviet Far East. Soviet military operations in distant areas during a NATO-Warsaw Pact war are considered in an annex. The Estimate treats the following elements of the Pact's military forces: - Ground Forces. The ground forces (including airborne and heliborne forces) of the USSR, East Germany, Poland, Czechoslo- vakia, Hungary, Romania, and Bulgaria and their organic air defense and tactical nuclear systems. - Air and Air Defense Forces. Soviet Frontal (tactical) Aviation, Military Transport Aviation, and the bombers of Soviet Long Range Aviation, as well as the tactical air and national air defense forces (including ground-based systems) of the non- Soviet Warsaw Pact (NSWP) countries. - Naval Forces. The general purpose submarines, surface ships, aircraft, auxiliaries, and amphibious forces of the three western Soviet fleets and the NSWP navies. - Soviet Ballistic Missile Forces for Peripheral Attack. Those Soviet land-based (MRBMs, IRBMs, and ICBMs) and submarine- launched (SLBMs) ballistic missiles which are available for use against NATO in the European theater. - Support Functions. Those activities and organizations which support and integrate Pact forces, such as command, control, and communications systems and logistic services. *For the purpose of this Estimate, Pact general purpose ground and air forces available for early use against NA'T'O include those located in the non-Soviet Warsaw Pact (NSWP) nations and in the USSR's Baltic, Belorussian, Carpathian, Leningrad, Odessa, Kiev, North Caucasus, and Transcaucasus Military Districts. Forces in the Moscow, volga, Ural, and Turkestan Military Districts could be used against NATO or elsewhere. Also included in this Estimate are Pact general purpose naval forces in the three western Soviet fleets, including the Mediterranean Squadron, and the NSWP navies, as well as Soviet strategic forces which could. be enployed against European targets in a peripheral attack role. 1
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.