Documents / FOIA release

Warsaw Pact Forces opposite NATO, NIE 11-14-79, Volume II, the Estimate, CIA/NFAC, 31 January 1979

Central Intelligence Agency · 201 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is Volume II of National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-79, Warsaw Pact Forces Opposite NATO, issued by the Director of Central Intelligence and dated January 1979. The National Foreign Intelligence Board concurred with it. It was the first comprehensive estimate of Pact forces facing NATO since 1971. It covers Pact doctrine, the ground, air, naval, nuclear and chemical forces, command and control, and campaign plans for war in Europe. It judges that Central Europe would be the decisive arena, and it lists Pact weaknesses in pilot training and antisubmarine warfare. The document contains no UFO material.

C. The Initial Campaign in the Northwestern Theater of Military
Operations ..................... ......... IV-31
Naval Operations.. .................................... IV-32
Ground Operations in Northern Norway ................... IV-32
Air Operations .............................. ....... IV-33
D. Naval Operations in the North Atlantic ... ............ IV-33
Strategy and Operations ................................. IV-34
Potential Effectiveness . IV-40
CHAPTER V. THEATER NUCLEAR OPERATIONS V-1
A. Tactical Nuclear Operations V-1
13. Nuclear Strikes Against NATO by Soviet Strategic Forces V-3
CHAPTER VL. FUTURE FORCES ................................. VI-]
A. Factors Affecting Future Forces ........... ................ VI-1
Soviet Perceptions of NATO's Military Capabilities ........... VI-1
Soviet Leadership .... VI-1
Economic Considerations VI-1
Demographic Factors .. VI-2
Technology ... VI-2
Sino-Soviet Relations VI-2
B. Trends in the Size and Composition of Future Forces ........ VI-2
General VI-2
Ground Forces VI-3
Air Forces . VI-5
General Purpose Naval Forces VI-7
Theater Nuclear Forces VI-11
Support Systems and Forces VI-13
ANNEX A. SOVIET MILITARY OPERATIONS OUTSIDE THE EURO-
PEAN THEATER DURING A NATO-WARSAW PACT WAR . A-1
ANNEX B. DISPOSITION OF WARSAW PACT GENERAL PURPOSE
FORCES, 1 JANUARY 1979 (tables) B-1
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 201 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.