Documents / FOIA release
This is an October 1968 contribution by the Central Intelligence Agency's Office of Strategic Research to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-68 on Soviet and East European general purpose forces. It covers Warsaw Pact war plans for Central Europe, the effects of the Czechoslovak crisis, and the doubling of Soviet forces on the Chinese border since 1965. It also assesses ground, tactical air, naval and coastal defense forces. The text does not mention UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.
“The Advance”9 pages
TOE~,_ XMrn" 1Q-isbe~ o dollbl eth azag length of time on station by making greater use of friendly ports and anchorages for midvoyage logistic support of F-, R-, and W-class submarines. In spite of the constraint imposed by the Montreux Convention--submarines are prohibited from transiting the Turkish Straits except for movement to and from repair bases--Soviet submarines based in the Black Sea are making patrols in the Mediterranean for as long as two months. This pattern has been followed since 1964, and has been increased in 1968. The strain on the submarine force in 1967 due to the Mediterranean requirement has contributed largely to the 1968 decline in patrols. Manning level problems may also be a rele- vant factor, since the manning requirements for new Y-class submarines could be draining trained sub- mariners from the fleets. In 1967, E class deployments in the Atlantic increased to 10, double the number of patrols in 1966. The Atlantic increase would probably have been even greater without the Middle East crisis, because five E class were diverted to the Mediterranean during 1967. Pacific E class deployments during 1967 reached a figure of eight. None were detected in 1966. We continue to believe that the E class is intended primarily for antiship missions. For the third consecutive year J-class submarines have not been detected south of the Norwegian Sea or in distant patrols in the Pa- cific. The lack of long-range patrols and the role of the J's in the last three Norwegian Sea exercises provide a strong indication that these submarines are intended for perimeter defense. One and possibly two J-class units conducted a Mediterranean deploy- ment in 1966, and one of them suffered a mechanical difficulty. These patrols probably will be resumed once operational deficiencies are corrected. Units of all three new classes of attack submarines have been deployed to operational submarine bases, and out-of-area patrol activity should begin shortly. The two large nuclear-powered classes - 95 - TOk' 8EGPJ3T
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 115 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.