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OSR Contribution to NIE 11-14-68, Soviet and East European General Purpose Forces, CIA/DI/OSR, October 1968.

Central Intelligence Agency · 115 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is an October 1968 contribution by the Central Intelligence Agency's Office of Strategic Research to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-68 on Soviet and East European general purpose forces. It covers Warsaw Pact war plans for Central Europe, the effects of the Czechoslovak crisis, and the doubling of Soviet forces on the Chinese border since 1965. It also assesses ground, tactical air, naval and coastal defense forces. The text does not mention UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 7 …the traditional NATO - Warsaw Pact arena, the Soviets have begun to seek ways of - advancing their…
  • p. 11 …the plan (see Figure 1, foldout map following this page) envisions a broad rapid advance through…
  • p. 12 …The Front from Czechoslovakia has the mission of advancing as far as the west bank of…
  • p. 21 …It was from these areas that the Soviets made their most successful advances against the Japanese…
  • p. 64 …been re- pulsed, the air units are to move forward.with the advancing ground forces. A…
  • p. 73 …Considerable discussion was devoted to the use of advanced reconnaissance aircraft to- gether with strike aircraft…
  • p. 77 …At least two advanced air- craft will have entered service by this time, and the older…
  • p. 100 …Surface forces are hampered generally by the small number of units in the fleet with advanced…
  • p. 111 …second generation, but it remains to be demonstrated that sufficient advances have been made over the…
TOP'8EGR Tl|
The East German Air Force will
probably continue to have a strictly interceptor role,
xpanding its force_ to iramsixaoeightagiments.
During the period of this estimate, it will probably
become equipped almost exclusively with Fishbed D/F
all-weather fighters.
Poland will increase its'inter-
ceptor capabilities by acquiring more Fishbed D/F's
and retiring most of the Fresco and Farmer aircraft.
The Polish Air Force will probably increase its ground
attack capability by replacing its obsolescent Frescos
with Fitters.
Poland, which now has four AN-12
Cub transports, will probably have two squadrons of
AN-12's or AN-8 Camps of 12 each, or perhaps a regiment
of-36 aircraft, to augment its airlift capabilities.
Czechoslovakia reportedly has 2 AN-12's and may re-
ceive some AN-12 or AN-8 transports.
Bulgaria and Rumania are not apt
to change their basic defensive roles. They will
probably receive more Fishbed D/F's to replace their
older fighters, but the size and disposition of forces
are not likely to change.
With the report of 15 SU-7 Fit-
ters in Hungary, it is possible that the Hungarian
Air Force is developing some ground attack capability.
- 79 -
TP .RFT

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 115 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.