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OSR Contribution to NIE 11-14-68, Soviet and East European General Purpose Forces, CIA/DI/OSR, October 1968.

Central Intelligence Agency · 115 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is an October 1968 contribution by the Central Intelligence Agency's Office of Strategic Research to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-68 on Soviet and East European general purpose forces. It covers Warsaw Pact war plans for Central Europe, the effects of the Czechoslovak crisis, and the doubling of Soviet forces on the Chinese border since 1965. It also assesses ground, tactical air, naval and coastal defense forces. The text does not mention UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 83 …local coastal areas in conjunction with air and ground forces and for protection of Soviet interests…
  • p. 100 …A Soviet naval surface force conducted a goodwill cruise into the Indian Ocean which involved port…
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Beagle light bombers, some of which may have been con-
verted to a reconnaissance role. These planes would
probably be ineffective against NATO defenses.
None of the Warsaw Pact
air forces now has a suitable airlift capability.
They have been dependent on the Soviets for any air-
lift capability except for a few light transports and
helicopters.
Poland has now acquired four
AN-12 Cub transports and Czechoslovakia is reported to
have two, but this has not been confirmed.
(e) Airfield Construction
Except for three airfields
in East Germany that are being constructed, there
is no known new airfield construction in the Warsaw
Pact countries. In fact, one and possibly two air-
fields are being shut down in Czechoslovakia.
(2) Future Prospects
The number of aircraft in the
Eastern.European:Warsaw Pact countries is expected
to decrease slightly from the approximately .2,600
aircraft presently on hand. The capabilities could
increase, however, with delivery of.more Fishbed D/F
and Fitter aircraft.
The following tabulation shows
the estimated.. force levels of the Warsaw Pact for. the
1968-70 period, by type. of aircraft:.
Aircraft Inventory
1 Oct 68 Mid-1969 Mid-1970.
MIG-15 Fagot/
MIG-17 Fresco 1,385 1,100-1,200 . 1,000-1,145
MIG-19 Farmer .210 175-200 150-175
MIG-21 Fishbed C/E 235 230-250 230-250
MIG-21 Fishbed D/F 560 620-720 650-800
SU.-7 Fitter 120 160-190 180-210
IL-28 Beagle_ 105 95-100 70-90
YAK-27 Mangrove/
L-29 Maya 20 20-40 20-30
Total 2,635 2,400-2,700 2,300-2,700
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TO3SRGR ET

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 115 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.