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OSR Contribution to NIE 11-14-68, Soviet and East European General Purpose Forces, CIA/DI/OSR, October 1968.

Central Intelligence Agency · 115 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is an October 1968 contribution by the Central Intelligence Agency's Office of Strategic Research to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-68 on Soviet and East European general purpose forces. It covers Warsaw Pact war plans for Central Europe, the effects of the Czechoslovak crisis, and the doubling of Soviet forces on the Chinese border since 1965. It also assesses ground, tactical air, naval and coastal defense forces. The text does not mention UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 7 …the traditional NATO - Warsaw Pact arena, the Soviets have begun to seek ways of - advancing their…
  • p. 11 …the plan (see Figure 1, foldout map following this page) envisions a broad rapid advance through…
  • p. 12 …The Front from Czechoslovakia has the mission of advancing as far as the west bank of…
  • p. 21 …It was from these areas that the Soviets made their most successful advances against the Japanese…
  • p. 64 …been re- pulsed, the air units are to move forward.with the advancing ground forces. A…
  • p. 73 …Considerable discussion was devoted to the use of advanced reconnaissance aircraft to- gether with strike aircraft…
  • p. 77 …At least two advanced air- craft will have entered service by this time, and the older…
  • p. 100 …Surface forces are hampered generally by the small number of units in the fleet with advanced…
  • p. 111 …second generation, but it remains to be demonstrated that sufficient advances have been made over the…
In the Hungarian intervention in 1956
the Soviets probably began some preliminary mobili-
zation steps on 19 October in response to the Polish
crisis. Units from the USSR began arriving in
Hungary on 25 October and the reinforcement was
completed by 4 November, 16 days after the initial
alert.
the Soviet
Carpathian Front was to Degin arriving in Czecho-
ojvakia on the fourth day of hostilities (D+3)
On balance, the evidence indicates that
the Soviets believe they could complete the essential
elements of reinforcement in Central Europe within
about ten days if the need were sufficiently urgent.
If given a choice, however, it appears that they would
plan to take about three weeks to complete the rein-
forcement.
The most time-consuming and critical
aspect of mobilization is the organization and
filling out of the Front and army rear services.
These units are the least combat ready in peace-
time, and important elements of the rear services
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 115 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.