Documents / FOIA release
This is an October 1968 contribution by the Central Intelligence Agency's Office of Strategic Research to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-68 on Soviet and East European general purpose forces. It covers Warsaw Pact war plans for Central Europe, the effects of the Czechoslovak crisis, and the doubling of Soviet forces on the Chinese border since 1965. It also assesses ground, tactical air, naval and coastal defense forces. The text does not mention UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.
TOP SECR''l We believe the Belorussian MD could produce a Front which could probably complete its mobilization and deployment into western Poland or 1y-t-wo ortree we eks -T ii-ron would consist of about 140,0.00 men with 3,100 tanks, supported by 250 aircraft, about 50 nuclear-capable missile or rocket launchers, 650 artillery pieces and 150 multiple-round rocket launchers. f. Baltic Military District The 'Baltic MD contains a combined- arms army--the 11th Guards Army--and an airborne division which are available for the central region.. There is also a tactical air army of 260 aircraft. Between 17 July and 10 August 1968 the 11th Guards Army, which had one Category I and three or four Category II divisions, was fully mobilized and began a movement into north-central Poland. By the end of August it was located in the area of the East German-Czechoslovak border, and there are indications that it will remain in Czechoslovakia as part of the. Soviet occupation force. g. Soviet Forces in Poland The Soviet Northern Group of Forces (NGF) in Poland has only two tank divisions, both of which are probably Category I. However, the NGF has combat support units approximating those in a typical Soviet field army, and also has a large tactical air army with 290 aircraft. There is no evidence to indicate the intended wartime role of NGF. Its units could be used to reinforce either the GSFG or the Polish Front, or they could form a part of .a theater reserve. Apparently none of the NGF ground forces were involved in the Czecho- slovak intervention. However, about 75 aircraft of the 37th Tactical Air Army from NGF were used in Czechoslovakia. h. Strategic Reserve Simultaneously with the mobilization and deployment of the Fronts, the Soviets would . probably begin developing a strategic reserve under the direct control of the High Command. The reserve - 42 - TOP SER1T
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 115 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.