Documents / FOIA release

OSR Contribution to NIE 11-14-68, Soviet and East European General Purpose Forces, CIA/DI/OSR, October 1968.

Central Intelligence Agency · 115 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is an October 1968 contribution by the Central Intelligence Agency's Office of Strategic Research to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-68 on Soviet and East European general purpose forces. It covers Warsaw Pact war plans for Central Europe, the effects of the Czechoslovak crisis, and the doubling of Soviet forces on the Chinese border since 1965. It also assesses ground, tactical air, naval and coastal defense forces. The text does not mention UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 5 …Capabilities . . . . 102 a. Afloat Support 102 C. Sea ift . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 4 5. Eastern European Naval Forces…
  • p. 83 …Naval Forces The Soviet Navy's historic .missions-- defense against seaborne attack, interdiction of sea lines…
  • p. 91 …about 60 aircraft --based in the Baltic Sea area where their limited range is not a…
  • p. 92 …helicopter carrier Moskva, which is now undergoing trials in the Black Sea. - 89 - TOP-Si CRETZ
  • p. 95 …In the Baltic and Black Sea fleet, the primary reconnaissance capability is represented by the two…
  • p. 98 …bases--Soviet submarines based in the Black Sea are making patrols in the Mediterranean for as…
  • p. 100 …the Baltic, and 53 in the- Black Sea. Such forces how- ever, have limited antiair and…
  • p. 107 …but about two-thirds are in the Baltic and Black seas. Because of the - 104 - TOPSEGRFT
  • p. 108 …Only limited convoy defense exercises have been noted, in the Northern and Black Sea fleet areas…
  • p. 109 …and is very low in the Black Sea, where, the Soviet Navy carries the main responsibility…
  • p. 110 …Both of these tasks would be carried out on the high seas away from Soviet peripheral…
  • p. 112 …These carriers, designed primarily to provide a sea- borne platform for ASW helicopters, could presage the…
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The major weakness of the Polish
Front stems from its dependence on a complex and
awkward mobilization procedure, and from the neces-
- -smt---y- =e-=s==erees-westw _ -
before they could be committed in an offensive. The
critical nature of these mobilization and movement
actions lies not only in the fact that the operations
of the Polish forces depend on them but also in their
vulnerability to interruption if attempted after
hostilities begin.
d. Carpathian Front
Before the Czech intervention, the
Soviets had planned to form a Front from the
Carpathian Military District to replace the Czech
forces after the initial hostilities in the central
region. The Front would be formed from existing
units of the Carpathian MD, supplemented by mobili-
zation. These forces consist of three field armies,
a tactical air army, and some combat and service
support units.
The three field armies include the
8th Tank Army with four tank divisions, and two
combined arms armies, the 13th and 38th, each with
four motorized rifle divisions. All four of the
tank divisions in the 8th Tank Army probably are
combat ready, but its support units are probably at
reduced strength and would require some mobilization
of personnel and vehicles to become combat ready.
Prior to the Czech intervention, the 13th Army had
one combat-ready division while the 38th Army had
two. The remaining five motorized rifle divisions
were Category II with reduced personnel and equip-
ment strength, as were the combat and service support
units of these armies.
In addition to its divisions, each
of the Carpathian armies has a Scud brigade, an
artillery brigade, a surface-to-air missile regiment,
and an engineer ponton and assault crossing regiment.
One of the combined-arms armies also probably has a
separate heavy tank and assault gun regiment.
- 39 -
TOP QRET

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 115 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.