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OSR Contribution to NIE 11-14-68, Soviet and East European General Purpose Forces, CIA/DI/OSR, October 1968.

Central Intelligence Agency · 115 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is an October 1968 contribution by the Central Intelligence Agency's Office of Strategic Research to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-68 on Soviet and East European general purpose forces. It covers Warsaw Pact war plans for Central Europe, the effects of the Czechoslovak crisis, and the doubling of Soviet forces on the Chinese border since 1965. It also assesses ground, tactical air, naval and coastal defense forces. The text does not mention UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 7 …the traditional NATO - Warsaw Pact arena, the Soviets have begun to seek ways of - advancing their…
  • p. 11 …the plan (see Figure 1, foldout map following this page) envisions a broad rapid advance through…
  • p. 12 …The Front from Czechoslovakia has the mission of advancing as far as the west bank of…
  • p. 21 …It was from these areas that the Soviets made their most successful advances against the Japanese…
  • p. 64 …been re- pulsed, the air units are to move forward.with the advancing ground forces. A…
  • p. 73 …Considerable discussion was devoted to the use of advanced reconnaissance aircraft to- gether with strike aircraft…
  • p. 77 …At least two advanced air- craft will have entered service by this time, and the older…
  • p. 100 …Surface forces are hampered generally by the small number of units in the fleet with advanced…
  • p. 111 …second generation, but it remains to be demonstrated that sufficient advances have been made over the…
In addition to the Mediterranean involvement,
the Soviets have exhibited some interest in the
Indian Ocean area. At present, without the Suez
Canal or local bases, an extended operation in this
area would probably draw too heavily on Soviet naval
resources to be attractive. Should the base and
transit problems be solved, the Soviets could deploy
another, smaller Mediterranean-type squadron.
C. The Soviet Buildup Against China
The Soviet buildup along the Chinese border
and in Mongolia has been the major development af-
fecting ground forces strength and dispositions for
the past several years. The buildup is apparently
not in response to any immediate Chinese threat but
is probably intended to meet contingencies arising
from current Chinese instability as well as the
possible future development of a Chinese military
threat. The buildup is incomplete and at least
another year of large-scale construction and a
substantial increase in personnel and equipment
strengths will be-required to complete the deploy-
ments already under way.
The increased requirements for Soviet ground
forces strength in the West, which are likely to
follow from the Czechoslovak crisis, may force the
Soviets to re-examine, and perhaps lower, the
priorities assigned to the China border buildup.
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 115 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.