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OSR Contribution to NIE 11-14-68, Soviet and East European General Purpose Forces, CIA/DI/OSR, October 1968.

Central Intelligence Agency · 115 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is an October 1968 contribution by the Central Intelligence Agency's Office of Strategic Research to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-68 on Soviet and East European general purpose forces. It covers Warsaw Pact war plans for Central Europe, the effects of the Czechoslovak crisis, and the doubling of Soviet forces on the Chinese border since 1965. It also assesses ground, tactical air, naval and coastal defense forces. The text does not mention UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 83 …local coastal areas in conjunction with air and ground forces and for protection of Soviet interests…
  • p. 100 …A Soviet naval surface force conducted a goodwill cruise into the Indian Ocean which involved port…
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Kresta-class cruisers. More helicopters of this kind
also would be needed if new helicopter carriers are
built, but there is no evidence that additonal car-
riers are currently under construction.
With the deployment of new fixed-
wing ASW aircraft and carrier-based helicopters, some
of the shore-based-MI-4 units might be deactivated.
A major reduction in these forces seems unlikely, how-
ever, and some KA-25's already have been delivered
to one of these units. In addition to the KA-25's,
the shore-based ASW units might also receive some
large helicopters as the MI-4 is phased out during
the 1970's. An amphibious version of the MI-8 Hip
medium helicopter is known to be under development,
and the deployment of an ASW variant of this aircraft
would improve the capabilities of the SNAF ASW forces.
D. Coastal Defense Force
For more than -a decade the USSR has had
coastal defense missiles defending its major coastal
installations. Deployment of the 35-nm-range SS-C=2b
Samlet system commenced in the mid-1950's, and by the
early 1960's about 35 battalions, with approximately
70 launchers, were deployed in all major fleet areas.
Replacement by the 270-nm-range SS-C-lb Shaddock is
believed to have begun in 1964 or 1965. Phase-out
of the Samlet system may be complete by 1974. It is
estimated that peak deployment of 11 to 15 Shaddock
battalions--44 to 60 launchers--will be achieved by
about 1970.
The effectiveness of the Soviet coastal
defense missiles is high. The Samlet, if fitted
with a high-explosive warhead and impact fuses, is
expected to have a hit/near miss success rate of about
65 percent. In the unlikely event that a nuclear
warhead and proximity fuses are fitted, the missile's
success rate might exceed 85 percent.
The success rate for the Shaddock presumably
would be about the same as for the similar SS-N-3
missile fired by E-II-class submarines. These rates
are. thought to be in excess of 55 percent if a nuclear
warhead and proximity fuses areused, or about 45 per-
cent if a high-explosive warhead and impact fuses
are used.
- 112 -.
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 115 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.