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OSR Contribution to NIE 11-14-68, Soviet and East European General Purpose Forces, CIA/DI/OSR, October 1968.

Central Intelligence Agency · 115 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is an October 1968 contribution by the Central Intelligence Agency's Office of Strategic Research to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-68 on Soviet and East European general purpose forces. It covers Warsaw Pact war plans for Central Europe, the effects of the Czechoslovak crisis, and the doubling of Soviet forces on the Chinese border since 1965. It also assesses ground, tactical air, naval and coastal defense forces. The text does not mention UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 7 …the traditional NATO - Warsaw Pact arena, the Soviets have begun to seek ways of - advancing their…
  • p. 11 …the plan (see Figure 1, foldout map following this page) envisions a broad rapid advance through…
  • p. 12 …The Front from Czechoslovakia has the mission of advancing as far as the west bank of…
  • p. 21 …It was from these areas that the Soviets made their most successful advances against the Japanese…
  • p. 64 …been re- pulsed, the air units are to move forward.with the advancing ground forces. A…
  • p. 73 …Considerable discussion was devoted to the use of advanced reconnaissance aircraft to- gether with strike aircraft…
  • p. 77 …At least two advanced air- craft will have entered service by this time, and the older…
  • p. 100 …Surface forces are hampered generally by the small number of units in the fleet with advanced…
  • p. 111 …second generation, but it remains to be demonstrated that sufficient advances have been made over the…
TOP SER ET
retrofitted with a new missile, just as the AS-.
has re laced the AS-i on the Badger B. There is
evidence that the AS-4 missile possibly is
being tested for use on the TU-16, and the SNAF's
Badger C aircraft could be modified to carry this
high-performance ASM.
Even with efforts to extend
the service life of the TU-16, the SNAF medium
bomber forces will have declined considerably by
the late 1970's. This will be particularly true>
if TU-22 strength is not increased beyond the present
two regiments. Limited deployment of the TU-22 and
continued reductions in. TU-16 strength (the aircraft
has been out of production since 1959) could lead
the USSR to develop a new ASM-equipped medium bomber
for service in the late 1970's and 1980's.
The IL-28 .has been out .of pro-
duction since 1957, and there is no indication that
a replacement is planned. The two remaining SNAF
IL-28 bomber regiments probably will be deactivated
sometime in the next few years, with the function of
these aircraft being assumed by the medium bombers
and other forces..
(2) Antisubmarine Aircraft
Replacement of the old BE-6
flying boat by the BE-12 amphibian and the May ASW
aircraft is expected to continue, but it is considered
unlikely that either aircraft will be deployed in
large numbers. A mixed force of some 100 aircraft--
perhaps half BE-12 and half May--might be in service
during the 1970's.
It is believed that at least
two regiments of KA-25's--50 to 60 aircraft--will
be assigned to the two helicopter carriers now in
existence. A third regiment might also be deployed,
with the three units rotating between the carriers
and a shore base. Another 15 to 20 KA-25's probably
will be assigned to the Kresta-class guided-missile
cruisers over the next two years.
During the early 1970's some
additional helicopters of the KA-25 type.probably
will be deployed for service with ships such as the
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 115 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.