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OSR Contribution to NIE 11-14-68, Soviet and East European General Purpose Forces, CIA/DI/OSR, October 1968.

Central Intelligence Agency · 115 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is an October 1968 contribution by the Central Intelligence Agency's Office of Strategic Research to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-68 on Soviet and East European general purpose forces. It covers Warsaw Pact war plans for Central Europe, the effects of the Czechoslovak crisis, and the doubling of Soviet forces on the Chinese border since 1965. It also assesses ground, tactical air, naval and coastal defense forces. The text does not mention UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 7 …the traditional NATO - Warsaw Pact arena, the Soviets have begun to seek ways of - advancing their…
  • p. 11 …the plan (see Figure 1, foldout map following this page) envisions a broad rapid advance through…
  • p. 12 …The Front from Czechoslovakia has the mission of advancing as far as the west bank of…
  • p. 21 …It was from these areas that the Soviets made their most successful advances against the Japanese…
  • p. 64 …been re- pulsed, the air units are to move forward.with the advancing ground forces. A…
  • p. 73 …Considerable discussion was devoted to the use of advanced reconnaissance aircraft to- gether with strike aircraft…
  • p. 77 …At least two advanced air- craft will have entered service by this time, and the older…
  • p. 100 …Surface forces are hampered generally by the small number of units in the fleet with advanced…
  • p. 111 …second generation, but it remains to be demonstrated that sufficient advances have been made over the…
The development of an ASW capability
in the open-ocean surface forces had preoccupied
Soviet naval strategists for some time. Stresson
improving all aspects of ASW will undoubtedly continue.
It appears doubtful that any new combatant designs of
cruiser or destroyer types will emerge in the near
term. Emphasis will be placed on increasing the com-
bat capability of the open-ocean forces and there is
a clear need for development of a new destroyer es-
cort. Probably the most significant addition within
the next few years.will be the two helicopter carriers.
These carriers, designed primarily to provide a sea-
borne platform for ASW helicopters, could presage the
development of new ships designed to provide air sup-
port for many of the surface fleet's tasks.
It is apparent that the success of
US aircraft carrier operations is keeping alive an
internal Soviet polemic about the need for such ships
in their navy. At present there is no evidence of
the construction of additional helicopter carriers
or the design of aircraft carriers but, following a
period of evaluation of these two helicopter carriers,
a new model probably will be built.
In out-of-area operations the Soviet
surface forces seem to lack adequate logistic support
and air support. Fulfillment of these deficiencies
will depend largely on the construction priorities
in naval shipbuilding.
The construction of the Kresta-class
guided-missile light cruiser, the Kashin-class guided-
missile frigate, and the Petya-class escort will most
likely continue at current rates for a few more years
to provide added combat capabilities. Logistic ships
for surface ship support probably will be built, but
it is doubtful that they will appear before the early
1970's.
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 115 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.