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Contribution to NIE 11-14-64 Capabilities of Soviet General-Purpose Forces 1964-70, CIA/DI/ORR, 6 October 1964

Central Intelligence Agency · 53 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is a CIA Office of Research and Reports contribution to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-64, dated 6 October 1964, on the capabilities of Soviet general-purpose forces from 1964 to 1970. It updates evidence on Soviet doctrine for theater warfare, the effect of low wartime birth rates on military conscription and the labor supply, tactical missile systems, the Soviet and Satellite tactical air forces, and Soviet naval submarine, surface and air forces. The report does not mention unidentified flying objects.

  • p. 38 …Soviet Naval General-Purpose Forces Traditional missions such as interdicting Western sea lines of com- munication…
  • p. 39 Soviet Navy to protect the sea lines of communication so vital to amphibious operations is severely…
  • p. 40 …Including tso vrdlov class in the Black Sea fitted for ji ssile :, D. -34-
  • p. 41 …probable J-class units in the Black Sea in late.1963. There also is tenuous evidence…
  • p. 47 …in the Baltic and Black Sea areas and the Sea of Japan. their use is primarily…
  • p. 49 …had great difficulty in locating them at sea. (TSD) The limited range of naval aircraft restricts…
  • p. 50 …It appears to be effective in local sea theaters off Soviet-controlled coastlines where surface and…
  • p. 52 …placed in service, probably in the Black Sea area where the operating environment might be compatible…
TOP SEQRET
3. Naval Aviation
The Soviet Naval Aviation Force (SNAF) is composed largely
of jet medium bombers but also includes jet light bombers, patrol air-
craft, and helicopters (see Table 9*). About three-fourths of the
360 to 410 Badgers in the SNAF have an air-to-surface missile (ASM)
capability.
It is estimated that the medium-bomber component of the
SNAF will decline only slightly through mid-1970 and that the intro-
duction of the new Blinder will offset a reduction in the Badger recon-
naissance force and the total phasing out of the Badger A (AS-1) force.
Based on need and on at least one exercise suggestive of an ASM launch,
it is estimated that most if not all of the Blinder aircraft will
have an ASM capability. Lack of evidence that the ASM for the Blinder
has been placed in operationaluse suggests that it is still under de-
velopment, possibly at the Vladimirovka Missile Test Range. Because
the Blinder has been deployed with SNAF units since 1963, it was esti-
mated in the ORR contribution to NIE 11-14-63 that an ASM for it would
be deployed by mid-1964. It is now estimated that this weapon could
appear by mid-1965. If it does not, it would have to be assumed that
the ASM development program is in difficulty, that the missile may have
been deployed without our knowledge, or that the Blinder will not carry
an ASM.
* P. 40, below.
- 39 -
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 53 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.