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Contribution to NIE 11-14-64 Capabilities of Soviet General-Purpose Forces 1964-70, CIA/DI/ORR, 6 October 1964

Central Intelligence Agency · 53 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is a CIA Office of Research and Reports contribution to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-64, dated 6 October 1964, on the capabilities of Soviet general-purpose forces from 1964 to 1970. It updates evidence on Soviet doctrine for theater warfare, the effect of low wartime birth rates on military conscription and the labor supply, tactical missile systems, the Soviet and Satellite tactical air forces, and Soviet naval submarine, surface and air forces. The report does not mention unidentified flying objects.

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It is estimated that the force will consist of about 400 units through-
out the period of this estimate.
The construction of new submarines is divided between
cruise-missile and torpedo-attack types in roughly equal portions (see
Table 8*). Cruise-missile submarines probably are being built at three
or four shipyards: the nuclear-powered E-class (Mod II) at Komsomol'sk
in the Far East and Severodvinsk in the Northern Fleet area for a com-
bined delivery rate of 3 to 4 units per year during the next several
years and the diesel-powered J-class at Sudomekh in Leningrad and prob-
ably at the shipyard in Gor'kiy for a combined delivery rate of 4 to 6
units per year. The estimated production of the J-class submarines at
Gor'kiy is based on sightings of probable J-class units in the Black
Sea in late.1963. There also is tenuous evidence that in late 1962 or
early 1963 Komsomol'sk may have begun production of a diesel submarine,
either J class or F-class. The involvement of more than one shipyard
indicates a considerably larger J-class program than was previously
estimated.
Estimated production of torpedo-attack submarines consists
of about three units per year of the nuclear-powered N-class, built at
Severodvinsk, and the diesel-powered. F-class program is expected to
taper off. In Table 8, estimates for both of these classes are aug-
mented to include possible follow-on models.
* P. 36, below.
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 53 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.