Documents / FOIA release
This is a CIA Office of Research and Reports contribution to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-64, dated 6 October 1964, on the capabilities of Soviet general-purpose forces from 1964 to 1970. It updates evidence on Soviet doctrine for theater warfare, the effect of low wartime birth rates on military conscription and the labor supply, tactical missile systems, the Soviet and Satellite tactical air forces, and Soviet naval submarine, surface and air forces. The report does not mention unidentified flying objects.
“Sea”8 pages
TOP'SECRET replacement program has been proceeding at almost a one-for-one ratio. Because indicate that there has been little change in the force in the last year, it is believed that the total number of aircraft in the TAF has remained at approxi- mately 3,100 to 3,400 since the 1961-62 period. 2. Developments Through Mid-1970 The relative stability that has been observed in Soviet Tactical Air Force strength over the past several years suggests that the current air order of battle corresponds closely to Soviet require- ments for tactical aviation. Because no radical changes in Soviet re- quirements over the next several years are foreseen, it is expected that current force trends will continue, and only a moderate decline in over-all strength is anticipated during the course of this estimate. The estimated production rates of new aircraft appear compatible with this forecast. It is therefore estimated that the total strength of the Soviet Tactical Air Force in mid-1970 will range between 2,200 and 2,900 aircraft. These figures could be somewhat higher if, as seems possible, the USSR anticipates a requirement for a larger reconnaissance force than projected in this estimate. With respect to the composition of the force, it is antici- pated that the replacement of older aircraft in each component with cur- rent types will continue. Since mid-1963, approximately 400 advanced model fighters and bombers (Fishbed D, Fitter, and Brewer) have entered Soviet units, and, based on estimated production rates, it is believed - 29 - TOP CRET
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 53 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.