Documents / FOIA release
This is a CIA Office of Research and Reports contribution to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-64, dated 6 October 1964, on the capabilities of Soviet general-purpose forces from 1964 to 1970. It updates evidence on Soviet doctrine for theater warfare, the effect of low wartime birth rates on military conscription and the labor supply, tactical missile systems, the Soviet and Satellite tactical air forces, and Soviet naval submarine, surface and air forces. The report does not mention unidentified flying objects.
“Sea”8 pages
TOPECRET - the first replacement of the Scud 1-b and 1-c systems occurring late in the same year. 3. Levels of Deployment Through 1970 The programs assumed for tactical missiles and FROG's for the years 1964-70 in the Intelligence Assumptions for Planning (IAP) appear to be valid. The uncertainties as to the meaning of the chang- ing patterns of evidence relative to the Scud-type systems would make changes in the estimated programs premature at this time. Clarifida tion of the status of the Scuds is not expected before the end of the year, at the conclusion of the second regular training period for tac- tical missile crews. As stated above, if general systems tests of a follow-on to the Scud-type systems occur in the spring of 1964, deploy- ment may result in 1966, a year earlier than forecast in the IAP. The outcome of the reorganization of the FROG units in the Soviet line divisions is similarly uncertain at this time. The .IAP provides for an increase to tree la:anchers per division, the probable minimum to be expected. The capabilities of the new truck-mounted launcher seen in East Germany are not known. Information indicating the incorporation of t1_is launcher into line divisions that also have received additional FROG 3/4 s could indicate that the number of launchers assigned to line divisions could be raised to six. Further evidence must be acquired, however, before estimates of more than three launchers per division will be warranted. T 8 - TOP ECRET
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 53 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.