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/specialCollection/MissileGap/1961/1961-04-25.pdf

Central Intelligence Agency · 101 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is National Intelligence Estimate 11-5-61, Soviet Technical Capabilities in Guided Missiles and Space Vehicles. It was submitted by the Director of Central Intelligence and concurred in by the United States Intelligence Board on 25 April 1961. The estimate assesses Soviet surface-to-air, antimissile, air-to-air, air-to-surface, ballistic, ICBM, naval and space programs. It concludes that the first Soviet ICBM unit was probably operational around 1 January 1960. It also says there is no evidence the Soviets are developing offensive space weapons. It contains no UFO material.

  • p. 5 …Kapustin Yar-Vladimirovka Missile Test Center 23 23. Training Launch Area, Complex G, Kapustin Yar 23…
  • p. 6 …The USSR now has two major missile test ranges at Kapustin Yar/Vladimirovka and Tyuratam, an…
  • p. 15 …in their use are located at the Kapustin Yar missile test range (see Figures 1 and…
  • p. 16 …Deployment of this system was delayed until prototype launching facilities were completed at Kapustin Yar and…
  • p. 18 …Research and development work for this purpose may be underway at Sary Shagan or Kapustin Yar…
  • p. 19 …SURFACE-TO-AIR MISSILE COMPLEX AT KAPUSTIN YAR Figure 2 40.6 IliTa I ...................................... •011•1…
  • p. 32 …impact area of the Kapustin Yar ballistic missile test range. Close to the impact area are…
  • p. 44 …Figure 22) which is adjacent to the Kapustin Yar rangehead. Research and development on large aerody…
  • p. 46 …Missiles known to have been developed or to be under develop- ment at Kapustin Yar include…
  • p. 47 …2 type missiles and initiated firings at Kapustin Yar in 1947. This missile program appears to…
  • p. 48 …missile from an area other than the Kapustin Yar missile test range, and indicates that it…
  • p. 50 …KAPUSTIN YAR-VLADIMIROVKA MISSILE TEST CENTER 0010110.1711 Wit 114•1141041011 int 141Al 1•11 14…
  • p. 51 …This photograph of a troop training area at the Kapustin Yar missile test range was taken…
  • p. 66 …range at Kapustin Yar for some years, and we believe that a missile of this range…
  • p. 67 …We would expect that this missile (SS-N-5) would be tested at Kapustin Yar, that…
  • p. 79 …Since 1954, about 25 vertical firings have been detected at the Kapustin Yar range. According to…
TOP CECRET
ANNEX B
ESTIMATED REACTION AND RELOAD TIMES
Surface-to-Surface Missiles
We have no good evidence on the reaction
times of Soviet surface-to-surface missile
units. However, based on our analysis of the
characteristics of these systems and general
Soviet capabilities, we estimate the following
reaction times as of mid-1961:
a. SS-1: This 150 n.m. missile, which is
trar4orted in a fueled state by a track-lay-
ing vehicle, could be fired about five minutes
after reaching a presurveyed position.
b. SS-2 through SS-4: Although these sys-
tems are capable of varying degrees of mo-
bility Ave estimate that they would be deployed
to simple presurveyed sites when hostilities
become imminent. The reaction times for
units already deployed will vary with the
degree of alert and will be approximately the
same as discussed under SS-5 and 55-6
(ICBM) below. For units in transit at the
time of alert, 2-4 hours will be required to
launch the first missile after the unit has
arrived at the presurveyed or prepared site.
c. SS-5 and SS-6 (ICBM): We estimate the
SS-6, and probably the SS-5, will probably
utilize fixed sites. The Soviet design philos-
ophy, particularly in the respect to the fuel-
ing techniques employed at operational
launch sites, will critically affect ICBM re-
action times. Assuming that rapid reaction
time has been a Soviet objective, we estimate
the following minimum reaction times for
ready missiles under the three alert condi-
tions indicated:
Condition I: Crews on routine standby,
electrical equipment cold, missiles not
fueled. Reaction time 1-3 hours.
Condition II: Crews on alert, electrical
equipment warmed up, missiles not
fueled. Reaction time 15-30 minutes.
Condition III: Crews on alert, electrical
equipment warmed up, missiles fueled
and occasionally topped. This condi-
tion probably could not be maintained
for more than an hour or so. Reaction
time 5-10 minutes.
Air-to-Air and Air-to-Surface Missiles
The AAMs and ASMs have a short enough
reaction and reload time that they are not
the delaying factor in he takeoff of the air-
craft.
Surface-to-Air Missiles
All SAMs, including those mounted on
ships, will have a reaction time of no more
than a minute when alerted. The reload time
will vary with the type of missile system.
Naval Missile Systems lc
The reaction times in minutes for naval
systems are estimated as follows:
ROII- RELOAD
ALERT TINE TIME REMARKS
SS-N-1 1 5-10 5 DD Subsonic
cruise 30-40
n.m.
SS-N-2 1 5-10 5 DD Supersonic
cruise 30-40
n.m.
SS-N-4 10 15 No reload "Z" Class Sub
SS-N-5 5 15 No reload Advanced Sub
"Na estimates of reaction and reload times are
available for SS-N-3, a 300 n.m. supersonic cruise
missile designed to be fired from a surfaced sub-
marine.
TOP CBORET 48

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 101 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.