Documents / FOIA release
This is National Intelligence Estimate 11-5-61, Soviet Technical Capabilities in Guided Missiles and Space Vehicles. It was submitted by the Director of Central Intelligence and concurred in by the United States Intelligence Board on 25 April 1961. The estimate assesses Soviet surface-to-air, antimissile, air-to-air, air-to-surface, ballistic, ICBM, naval and space programs. It concludes that the first Soviet ICBM unit was probably operational around 1 January 1960. It also says there is no evidence the Soviets are developing offensive space weapons. It contains no UFO material.
“The Advance”10 pages
C002784 07 TOP SE-C—RET ANNEX A ESTIMATED RELIABILITY OF MISSILE SYSTEMS ESTIMATED It ELIA BI LI TI ES We have little information on which to !we an estimate of the operational rdid ''y Snviet Thz: following are considered as possible reliabilities. For several years after an IOC, the reliability of a missile system wiii probabiy improve, and Alien level off. Except where noted the following reliabilities are for the current period, and reflect im- provements from the IOC date. In those eaSes where the IOC Ims been recent, or is in the future, improvements are generally specified. US Designation OPERATIONAL CA PABI LIT Y !featly i.h isile ItatC • lttL!A DILITY REM A RES Launcher In Flight • Air-to-Surface Systems: 4 • AS-1 1956-1957 n a 90 80 55 n.m. AS-2 Late 1960 no 80 70 100 n.m. (90) (80) (1963). AS-3 Lite 1960 no 80 70 350 ti.m. .(85) (80) (1963). Surface-to-Surface (Ground Launched): SS-I 1957 no 90 80 150 n.m. SS-2 1954 na 90 80 350 tt.m. SS-3 1956 85 90 80 700 n.m. SS-4 Late 1958 or early 85 95 80 1,100 n.m. 1959. SS-5 Late 1961 or early 75 80 75 2,000 n.m. 1962. (85) (95) (80) (Late 1964-1st half 1065.) SS-6 1 Jan. 1960' 70-85 85-90 70-85 As of mid-1961. (85-90) (90) (80-90) (1963). Surface-to-Surface (Naval Launched): SS-N-I 1958 85 80 20-30 ti.m. Subsonic, destroyer- launched. SS-N-2 1958 no 85 80 20-30 n.m. Supersonic, destroyer- launched. SS-N-4 1958/1959 no 95 .80 "Z" and "0," 150 n.m.1350 n.m. SS-N-5 1962/1963 U4 85 80 with sub- sequent 500-1,000 ei.m. Launched from nuclear sub. improve- ment See footnotes a t end of table. —rot- CECRET 46
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 101 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.