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/specialCollection/MissileGap/1961/1961-04-25.pdf

Central Intelligence Agency · 101 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is National Intelligence Estimate 11-5-61, Soviet Technical Capabilities in Guided Missiles and Space Vehicles. It was submitted by the Director of Central Intelligence and concurred in by the United States Intelligence Board on 25 April 1961. The estimate assesses Soviet surface-to-air, antimissile, air-to-air, air-to-surface, ballistic, ICBM, naval and space programs. It concludes that the first Soviet ICBM unit was probably operational around 1 January 1960. It also says there is no evidence the Soviets are developing offensive space weapons. It contains no UFO material.

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“Kapustin Yar”16 pages

  • p. 5 …Kapustin Yar-Vladimirovka Missile Test Center 23 23. Training Launch Area, Complex G, Kapustin Yar 23…
  • p. 6 …The USSR now has two major missile test ranges at Kapustin Yar/Vladimirovka and Tyuratam, an…
  • p. 15 …in their use are located at the Kapustin Yar missile test range (see Figures 1 and…
  • p. 16 …Deployment of this system was delayed until prototype launching facilities were completed at Kapustin Yar and…
  • p. 18 …Research and development work for this purpose may be underway at Sary Shagan or Kapustin Yar…
  • p. 19 …SURFACE-TO-AIR MISSILE COMPLEX AT KAPUSTIN YAR Figure 2 40.6 IliTa I ...................................... •011•1…
  • p. 32 …impact area of the Kapustin Yar ballistic missile test range. Close to the impact area are…
  • p. 44 …Figure 22) which is adjacent to the Kapustin Yar rangehead. Research and development on large aerody…
  • p. 46 …Missiles known to have been developed or to be under develop- ment at Kapustin Yar include…
  • p. 47 …2 type missiles and initiated firings at Kapustin Yar in 1947. This missile program appears to…
  • p. 48 …missile from an area other than the Kapustin Yar missile test range, and indicates that it…
  • p. 50 …KAPUSTIN YAR-VLADIMIROVKA MISSILE TEST CENTER 0010110.1711 Wit 114•1141041011 int 141Al 1•11 14…
  • p. 51 …This photograph of a troop training area at the Kapustin Yar missile test range was taken…
  • p. 66 …range at Kapustin Yar for some years, and we believe that a missile of this range…
  • p. 67 …We would expect that this missile (SS-N-5) would be tested at Kapustin Yar, that…
  • p. 79 …Since 1954, about 25 vertical firings have been detected at the Kapustin Yar range. According to…
C002784 07
TOP SE-C—RET
ANNEX A
ESTIMATED RELIABILITY OF MISSILE SYSTEMS
ESTIMATED It ELIA BI LI TI ES
We have little information on which to !we an estimate of the operational rdid ''y Snviet Thz: following
are considered as possible reliabilities. For several years after an IOC, the reliability of a missile system wiii probabiy
improve, and Alien level off. Except where noted the following reliabilities are for the current period, and reflect im-
provements from the IOC date. In those eaSes where the IOC Ims been recent, or is in the future, improvements are
generally specified.
US Designation OPERATIONAL
CA PABI LIT Y
!featly
i.h isile
ItatC •
lttL!A DILITY
REM A RES
Launcher
In
Flight •
Air-to-Surface Systems: 4 •
AS-1 1956-1957 n a 90 80 55 n.m.
AS-2 Late 1960 no 80 70 100 n.m.
(90) (80) (1963).
AS-3 Lite 1960 no 80 70 350 ti.m.
.(85) (80) (1963).
Surface-to-Surface (Ground
Launched):
SS-I 1957 no 90 80 150 n.m.
SS-2 1954 na 90 80 350 tt.m.
SS-3 1956 85 90 80 700 n.m.
SS-4 Late 1958 or early 85 95 80 1,100 n.m.
1959.
SS-5 Late 1961 or early 75 80 75 2,000 n.m.
1962. (85) (95) (80) (Late 1964-1st half 1065.)
SS-6 1 Jan. 1960' 70-85 85-90 70-85 As of mid-1961.
(85-90) (90) (80-90) (1963).
Surface-to-Surface (Naval
Launched):
SS-N-I 1958 85 80 20-30 ti.m. Subsonic, destroyer-
launched.
SS-N-2 1958 no 85 80 20-30 n.m. Supersonic, destroyer-
launched.
SS-N-4 1958/1959 no 95 .80 "Z" and "0," 150 n.m.1350 n.m.
SS-N-5 1962/1963 U4 85 80
with sub-
sequent
500-1,000 ei.m. Launched from
nuclear sub.
improve-
ment
See footnotes a t end of table.
—rot- CECRET 46

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 101 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.