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/specialCollection/MissileGap/1961/1961-04-25.pdf

Central Intelligence Agency · 101 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is National Intelligence Estimate 11-5-61, Soviet Technical Capabilities in Guided Missiles and Space Vehicles. It was submitted by the Director of Central Intelligence and concurred in by the United States Intelligence Board on 25 April 1961. The estimate assesses Soviet surface-to-air, antimissile, air-to-air, air-to-surface, ballistic, ICBM, naval and space programs. It concludes that the first Soviet ICBM unit was probably operational around 1 January 1960. It also says there is no evidence the Soviets are developing offensive space weapons. It contains no UFO material.

  • p. 79 …The first attempt to launch a Venus probe succeeded in orbiting the earth satellite, Sputnik VII…
  • p. 81 …Unmanned Earth Satellites. Earth satellite vehicles offer significant advances over conventional techniques for acquiring information on…
  • p. 83 …Unmanned Earth Orbiting Flight: 15,000-20,000 pounds, low orbit Military satellites Communications Weather surveillance…
T 45
Earliest
Capability
Date
These dates represent our estimate of the
earliest pc:zit:lc future time period in
which each specific evei,i. amid be success-
fully accomplished. We believe that
several could have been accomplished in
1959 or earlier, if the Soviets had chosen
to do so. Based on our uncertainly as to
specific Soviet space objectives as well as
competition between Soviet programs, we
do not estimate aceomplishment of every
one of these objectives within the specified
time periods.
Unmanned Earth Orbiting Flight:
15,000-20,000 pounds, low orbit
Military satellites
Communications
Weather surveillance
Force deployment and mapping
Unmanned Lunar Flight:
Satellite
Soft landings
Landing and exploration (Tankette)
Manned Earth Orbiting Flight: •
Glide-type vehicle recovery
Maneuverable (minimum; exo-atmospher-
le; conventional propulsion)
Orbital rendezvous (conventional propulsion)
Maneuverable outside atmosphere (nuclear
propulsion)
Space platform (50-100 tons)
Manned Lunar Flight:
Circumnavigate
Satellite
Landing
1961
1961
1961
1961
1961
1961
1965
1963
1963
1965
1968
1968-1970
1966
1967
1970
Space l'rogram Objectives
Table 5
POSSIBLE SOVIET SPACE ACTIVITIES
• The specified time periods for manned accomplishments
are predicated on the Soviets having previously success-
fully accomplished a number of similar unmanned
ventures.

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 101 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.