Documents / FOIA release

/specialCollection/MissileGap/1961/1961-04-25.pdf

Central Intelligence Agency · 101 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is National Intelligence Estimate 11-5-61, Soviet Technical Capabilities in Guided Missiles and Space Vehicles. It was submitted by the Director of Central Intelligence and concurred in by the United States Intelligence Board on 25 April 1961. The estimate assesses Soviet surface-to-air, antimissile, air-to-air, air-to-surface, ballistic, ICBM, naval and space programs. It concludes that the first Soviet ICBM unit was probably operational around 1 January 1960. It also says there is no evidence the Soviets are developing offensive space weapons. It contains no UFO material.

  • p. 15 …At the test range, the Soviets have fol- lowed a generally similar pattern in the de…
  • p. 33 …We believe that at the present time, the Soviets are well advanced in a program to…
  • p. 57 …the Soviet state of the art in re-entry techniques at that time. Subsequent advances in…
  • p. 58 …specific time designated well in advance, i.e., maximum readiness. The ready missile rate is expected…
  • p. 66 …program for developing advanced ASW weap- ons systems exists. The USSR has the basic scientific and…
  • p. 80 …technological advances in sev- eral key areas. 163.The Soviets are aware of the advantages offered…
  • p. 81 …The caliber of the Soviet work to date indicates that the USSR is among world leaders…
  • p. 82 …the vehicle should permit the Soviets to effect rendezvous with an earth orbiting vehicle. 173.Advanced…
  • p. 91 …We estimate the SS-6, and probably the SS-5, will probably utilize fixed sites. The…
  • p. 93 …The Academy of Sciences provides supplementary proposals and re- search programs designed to advance the state…
000278407
TOP CECIZET
Page
Physical Characteristics 25
Performance Under Operational Conditions 26
Milestones in the Program
Follow-on ICBM Development 30
VII. NAVAL LAUNCHED MISSILE SYSTEMS 31
Antisubmarine Warfare Missile Systems 32
Submarine Launched Missile Systems 32
VIII. SPACE PROGRAM 34
Soviet Achievements in Space 34
Soviet Earth Satellites (Table) 35
Soviet Space Probes (Table) 39
Summary of Soviet-Announced Scientific Instrumentation
(Table) 40
Launching Facilities 41
Major Basic and Applied Research Areas 42
Soviet Capabilities for Specific Future Missions 43
Offensive Space Weapons 44
Possible Space Activities (Table) 45
ANNEX A: ESTIMATED RELIABILITY OF MISSILE SYSTEMS. 46
ANNEX B: ESTIMATED REACTION AND RELOAD TIMES. . . 48
ANNEX C: ORGANIZATION AND CONTROL 49
ANNEX D: SUMMARY TABLES OF PROBABLE SOVIET MISSILE
DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS 51

Not linked to a story yet.

About this file

FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 101 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.