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/specialCollection/MissileGap/1961/1961-04-25.pdf

Central Intelligence Agency · 101 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is National Intelligence Estimate 11-5-61, Soviet Technical Capabilities in Guided Missiles and Space Vehicles. It was submitted by the Director of Central Intelligence and concurred in by the United States Intelligence Board on 25 April 1961. The estimate assesses Soviet surface-to-air, antimissile, air-to-air, air-to-surface, ballistic, ICBM, naval and space programs. It concludes that the first Soviet ICBM unit was probably operational around 1 January 1960. It also says there is no evidence the Soviets are developing offensive space weapons. It contains no UFO material.

  • p. 15 …At the test range, the Soviets have fol- lowed a generally similar pattern in the de…
  • p. 33 …We believe that at the present time, the Soviets are well advanced in a program to…
  • p. 57 …the Soviet state of the art in re-entry techniques at that time. Subsequent advances in…
  • p. 58 …specific time designated well in advance, i.e., maximum readiness. The ready missile rate is expected…
  • p. 66 …program for developing advanced ASW weap- ons systems exists. The USSR has the basic scientific and…
  • p. 80 …technological advances in sev- eral key areas. 163.The Soviets are aware of the advantages offered…
  • p. 81 …The caliber of the Soviet work to date indicates that the USSR is among world leaders…
  • p. 82 …the vehicle should permit the Soviets to effect rendezvous with an earth orbiting vehicle. 173.Advanced…
  • p. 91 …We estimate the SS-6, and probably the SS-5, will probably utilize fixed sites. The…
  • p. 93 …The Academy of Sciences provides supplementary proposals and re- search programs designed to advance the state…
THE PROBLEM
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 1
SIMPLIFIED TABULAR SUMMARY 8
DISCUSSION 9
I. SURFACE-TO-AIR MISSILES 9
SA-1 9
SA-2 10
Low Altitude System 12
II. SOVIET ANTIMISSILE PROGRAM 13
Research and Development Activity .13
Major Electronic Components 14
Milestones in the Program 14
Antisatellite System 15
III. AIR-TO-AIR MISSILES 17
IV. AIR-TO-SURFACE MISSILES 18
AS-1 System 18
AS-2 System 18
AS-3 System 18
Future Developments 19
V. GROUND-LAUNCHED SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE
SYSTEMS (EXCEPT ICBM) 20
SS-1: 150 n.m. Ballistic Missile System (SCUD) 21
SS-2: 350 n.m. Ballistic Missile System 21
SS-3: 700 n.m. Ballistic Missile System (SHYSTER) 21
SS-4: 1,100 n.m. Ballistic Missile System 21
SS-5: 2,000 n.m. Ballistic Missile System 22
Future Systems 22
Close Support Missiles 22
Ground-Launched Cruise-Type Systems 23
VI. ICBM DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM 24
Tyuratam Missile Test Range 24
ICBM Test Firings 24
TOP SECRET-

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 101 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.