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/specialCollection/MissileGap/1961/1961-04-25.pdf

Central Intelligence Agency · 101 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is National Intelligence Estimate 11-5-61, Soviet Technical Capabilities in Guided Missiles and Space Vehicles. It was submitted by the Director of Central Intelligence and concurred in by the United States Intelligence Board on 25 April 1961. The estimate assesses Soviet surface-to-air, antimissile, air-to-air, air-to-surface, ballistic, ICBM, naval and space programs. It concludes that the first Soviet ICBM unit was probably operational around 1 January 1960. It also says there is no evidence the Soviets are developing offensive space weapons. It contains no UFO material.

  • p. 5 …Kapustin Yar-Vladimirovka Missile Test Center 23 23. Training Launch Area, Complex G, Kapustin Yar 23…
  • p. 6 …The USSR now has two major missile test ranges at Kapustin Yar/Vladimirovka and Tyuratam, an…
  • p. 15 …in their use are located at the Kapustin Yar missile test range (see Figures 1 and…
  • p. 16 …Deployment of this system was delayed until prototype launching facilities were completed at Kapustin Yar and…
  • p. 18 …Research and development work for this purpose may be underway at Sary Shagan or Kapustin Yar…
  • p. 19 …SURFACE-TO-AIR MISSILE COMPLEX AT KAPUSTIN YAR Figure 2 40.6 IliTa I ...................................... •011•1…
  • p. 32 …impact area of the Kapustin Yar ballistic missile test range. Close to the impact area are…
  • p. 44 …Figure 22) which is adjacent to the Kapustin Yar rangehead. Research and development on large aerody…
  • p. 46 …Missiles known to have been developed or to be under develop- ment at Kapustin Yar include…
  • p. 47 …2 type missiles and initiated firings at Kapustin Yar in 1947. This missile program appears to…
  • p. 48 …missile from an area other than the Kapustin Yar missile test range, and indicates that it…
  • p. 50 …KAPUSTIN YAR-VLADIMIROVKA MISSILE TEST CENTER 0010110.1711 Wit 114•1141041011 int 141Al 1•11 14…
  • p. 51 …This photograph of a troop training area at the Kapustin Yar missile test range was taken…
  • p. 66 …range at Kapustin Yar for some years, and we believe that a missile of this range…
  • p. 67 …We would expect that this missile (SS-N-5) would be tested at Kapustin Yar, that…
  • p. 79 …Since 1954, about 25 vertical firings have been detected at the Kapustin Yar range. According to…
CC 0278407
TOP SECRET 8
Table 1
SIMPLIFIED TABULAR SUMMARY
PROBABLE SOVIET GUIDED MISSILE DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM-
Arbitrary Designation IOC Dale
Maximum
Range
Maximum
Warhead
Weight
Accuracy (CEP) Other
lbs.
Surface-to-Surface Bal-
listic Missiles:
Deployment Con-
cept
SS-1 1057 150 1,500 3-411 in. Road mobile.
SS-2 1954 350 2.000 34: Jun Road mobile.
SS-3 1956 700 3,000 1 Road mobile.
SS-4 Late 1958-early 1,i00 3,000 1).4 'Lin Road mobile.
1059.
SS-5 Late l961-1st half 2,000 .4,000 134 nma Probably used sites.
1962.
SS-6 1 Jan. 1 G 0 b -
mid 1960.
5,000
7,000
6,000-10.000
6,000
1961-2 n.m Fixed sites.
Surface-to-Air Missiles: Effective Altitude
SA-1 1954 20-30 500 65-120 ft 3,000 to 60,000 ft.
SA-2 1957 25-30 500 100 ft 2,500 to 60,000 ft.
SA-3 1961 12-15 300 20 ft 50 ft. to 40,000-
. 60,000 ft..
SA-4 1963-1966 Undetermined capability against ballistic missiles.
Air-to-Air Missiles: Conditions for Use
AA-1 1955-195G 2-5 30 20 ft * All weather.
AA-2 1955-1956 1-4 25 10 ft Limited.
AA-3 1958 3-6 25 15 ft All weather.
Air-to-Surface Missiles: Speed
AS-1 1956-1957 55 3,000 150 ft. against ships. Subsonic.
AS-2 Late 1960-early
1961.
100 3,000 1 n.m. on land, 150
ft. against ships.
Low supersonic.
AS-3 Late 1960-early
1961.
350 3,000 1-2 n.m. on land,
150 ft. against
ships.
Supersonic.
Naval Launched Mis-
siles:
Deployment Con-
cept
SS-N-1 cruise 1958 20-30 1,000 150 ft Destroyers.
40-100
w/assist
SS-N-2 cruise 1958 20-3C 1,000 150 ft Destroyers.
60-80
w/assist
Submarine-Launched
Missiles:
SS-N-3 cruise 1961 300 A supersonic cruise missile designed for launch from sur-
faced submarines.
Conditions for Use
SS-N-4 ballistic 1958 "Z"
1959 "G"
150 or 350 1,500-2,000 1-2 min Surfaced or sail
awash.
SS-N-5 ballistic 1962-1963 500-1 , 000 1,000 1-3 n.tn Submerged.
• For a detailed summary of each missile category, covering all estimated characteristics and other pertinent information
including possible developments, see Annex D. For a detailed summary of estimated Soviet capabilities in space flight, see
Section VIII.
b For the views of the Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army, and the Assistant Chief of
Naval Operations (Intelligence), Department of the Navy, on this date, sec their footnotes, page 5.

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 101 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.