Documents / FOIA release
This is National Intelligence Estimate 11-5-61, Soviet Technical Capabilities in Guided Missiles and Space Vehicles. It was submitted by the Director of Central Intelligence and concurred in by the United States Intelligence Board on 25 April 1961. The estimate assesses Soviet surface-to-air, antimissile, air-to-air, air-to-surface, ballistic, ICBM, naval and space programs. It concludes that the first Soviet ICBM unit was probably operational around 1 January 1960. It also says there is no evidence the Soviets are developing offensive space weapons. It contains no UFO material.
“The Advance”10 pages
Summary Table V PROBABLE OVIET DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM FOR NAVAL LAUNCHED SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILES SYSTEMS • Arbitrary Reference Designation Initial Operational Capability Date h Maximum Operational Range (n.m.) Guidance Operational Accuracy (CEP) • Maximum Warhead d (lbs. and type) Configure- tion REMARKS SS—N—I SS—N-2 SS—N-3 SS—N-4 SS—N-5 1958 1958 1981 1958—Z class sub. I959-0 class sub. 1962-1963. 100 assisted by heti- copter. 60—S0 assisted by forward ship. 30-40 unassisted. 30-40 unassisted . 60-8.0 when as- slated. 300 150 or 350 500-1,000 Programed posal- bly with radar track/radio coin- :nand over-ride with terminal homing against ships. See paragraph 137, page 31. . A supersonic cruise missile Radio/inertial Inertial 150 ft. against ship. 1-2 n.m. against land targets. 150 ft designed for launching 1-2 n.m . 1-3 n.m 1,000 HE or Nu- clear. , . 1,000 HE or Nu- clear, from surfaced 1,500-2,000 Nu- clear. 1,000 Nuclear Cruise Cruise submarines. Ballistic. Eeiistic Destroyer and possibly cruiser launched. High subsonic used against land or ship targets. 1000-10,000' altitude, Destroyer and possibly cruiser launched. Low supersonic for use against ships only 200' altitude. Not launched submerged. Modified "Z" class carries 2. "0" class can carry 3-4• 0-12 missiles per sub. Launched submerged or surfaced. OTHER: The Soviets now have operational a short range missile, guided or unguided, for use n patrol craft. Based on requirements and our appreciation of Soviet state of the art, we estimate that the USSR may be developing a missile for use in ASW. Assuming that an active development program is underway, we estimate that a ballistic-launch ed depth bomb could be available for use by surface ships in 1962 -1904 and that a ballistic -launched homing torpedo to be fired from a submarine could be available in 1963-1985. • We evaluate this program as "probable" with varying degrees of confidence concerning detailed characteristics. Each missile listed will probably go through various stages of development which are not necessarily reflected in this table. b The date when the first operational unit is trained and equipped with a few missiles and launchers. • CEP is the radius of a circle in which, statistically, one-half of the impacts will occur. Inherent missile accuracie.s are I omewhat better than the accuracies specified in the table which take into consideration average degradation factors, and for naval systems include the error in the location of the launching ship. d Warhead includes the explosive device and Its associated fusing and firing mechanism.
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 101 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.