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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 18 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore, The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 19 …Oleg 1-Ioeffding, Soviet National Income and Product in 1928, Columbia University Press, New York, 1954…
  • p. 21 …In theory, the Soviets " Basic Principles of the System of Balances of the National Economy, United…
  • p. 50 …Lawrence Grose, Real Output Measurement in the United States National Income and Product Accounts, US Department…
  • p. 166 …The subsidies on housing, recreation, and the press were allocated to the housing, recreation, and other…
  • p. 181 …Duke University Press, 1972), pp. 155-194; with Wade Robertson, “Industrial Production in the USSR," Soviet…
  • p. 183 …tons, square meters, units of production, or some other convention- al measure. Examples of this type…
  • p. 210 …For example, the production of commodities pub- lished in physical units includes intraplant turnover, but the…
  • p. 222 …bulbs Units Narkhoz Machine tools sector ml Meta? cutting machine tools Rubles Narkhoz Forge presses sector…
  • p. 249 …Hardt, eds., Soviet Economic Statistics, Durham, N.C., Duke University Press, 1972 Treml and Hardt U…
  • p. 261 …Khrushchev stat- ed that “figures for average yield (of grain) which you read in the press…
  • p. 308 …central press. 8 Because the official data have again been made available to the United States…
  • p. 320 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 321 …2 For details, see United Nations, Comparisons ofthe System of National Accounts and the System of…
  • p. 328 …Judging from a mass of anecdotal evidence from the Soviet press concerning the poor quality of…
  • p. 342 …Although the average size of a dwelling unit increased between 1950 and 1978-by 17 percent…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table B-7
Derivation of the Index of Value Added in Agriculture
Year (1) (2) (3)
Net Output Index of Net Output
(billion 1970 Column 1 (billion 1972
rubles) (1972 = 100) rubles)
(4)
Nonagricultural
Material Inputs
(billion 1972 rubles)
(5) (6)
Value Added lndex of
(billion 1972 Value Added
rubles) (l970= 100)
1950 38.1 48.5 41.2 3.9 37.3 _ 50.4
555555
1951 35.8 45.5 38.6 4.3 34.4 p___ 46.4 ________
555
1952 37.6 47.9 40.7 4.5 36.1 48.8
1953 40.3 51.3 43.5 5.2 32.35 5_5_5551.7 i
555
1954 41.2 52.4 44.5 5.4 39.1 52.8
1955 46.5 59.2 50.2 6.0 44.3
555
59.8
5555 5 Z
1956 52.9 67.4 57.2 6.4 50.8 _ 5665.6
1957 52.9 67.3 57.1 7.1 50.0 67.6
1958 57.2 72.8 61.8 7.6 54.2 73.525
55 55
1959 58.7 74.7 63.4 8.1 552- 745-755
5.55
[Q
1960 58.0 73.8 62.6 8.4 54.3 73.3
1961 62.1 79.1 67.1 9.2 58-°_ 55; 73-.3 _ 2-..
1962 61.3 78.1 66.2 10.0 56.2 _p if 75.9
1963 50.6 64.5 54.7 10.2 44.5 60.2
5 55
1964 64.6 82.3 69.8 11.0 58.8 750.5
1965 69.2 88.1 74.7 12.5 62.3 55 p
84.155: mil
1966 72.3 92.1 78.1 13.4 64.7 fir“ 87.4 WW V
1967 72.3 92.1 78.1 14.4 63.7 86.0
1968 76.6 97.5 82.7 15.1 67.7
5
91.4
1969 74.3 94.6 80.3 15.6 64.7 87.4
1970 83.6 106.4 90.3 16.2 74.0
5 55 100.05
1971- 83.2 105.9 89.9 17.1 72.23
5
98.3
5 55
1972 78.5 100.0 84.8 18.3 66.5 89.9
1973 90.1 114.7 97.3 19.7 77.6 104.8
1974 89.8 114.4 97.1 21.1 192;? _;;i;f1
1975 82.0 104.4 88.6 22.53 65.8 88.9
1976 88.6 112.9 95.8 22.4 73.455555 5
99.5155
5 555 5
1977 92.8 118.1 100.2 24.3 7595555 102.5 A _p_
1978 95.8 121.9 103.5 24.9 78.6 106.1
1979 90.2 114.8 97.4 25.4 72.0__ 5%: 9735AM ‘p
1980 86.3 109.8 93.2 26.4 66.8 90.2
Sources: Column 1: This is from JEC, Agriculture, table A-1.
Column 2: This is column 1 converted to index form (1972= 100).
Column 3: This is column 2 multiplied by the base-year (1972) value
of 84.8 billion rubles. The derivation of the base-year value is
described in the text.
Column 4: This is column 1 1 of table B-6 multiplied by the base-year
(1972) value of 18.3 billion rubles. The derivation of the base-year
value is described in the text.
Column 5: This is column 3 less column 4.
Column 6: This is column 5 converted to index form (l970= I00).
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.