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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

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“Gross”60+ pages

p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…

Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table B-6 Index: 1972= 100
Derivation of the Index of Purchases of Nonagricultural
Material Inputs by Agriculture
Year Mineral Electric Fuel and Machin- Fish
Power Lubri- ery MealFertil-
* izer cants Repair
Bone
Meal
Milling Oilseed Skim Sugar Total
Byprod- Meal Milk Beets Current
ucts Purchases
L950 8.9 2.1 25.9 24.4 2.2 5.0 24i1_ 33.5 fiU___31.1i 23.8 7 21.0 i if
1*“ 9.5 2.6 28.4 26.8 3.3 5.5 27.8 40.7 if __~* if
1952 10.2 3.1 29.0 27.4 3.7 6.6 31.6
.9 i fi__30.6 if 23.4”
43.1 __ 34.4Wfir__ri36.3m f f__
L9_5_3._, _ -19?
1954 12.4
3.8
4.8
34.4
33.7
32.5
31.8
4.4
5.5
8.0
9.4
36.0
40.0
45~7_....235~4_.._-_._14-L, __2.§1.5... _
51.2 _ 36.0__*_W35.6_ A 29.4 __
l§5_____liP
1956 _ 15.7
6.1
7.3
37.4
40.8
35.3
38.5
6.6
7.5
10.2
11.3
44.3
43.5
47.3 42g_“_W 30.3 32.6
57.2
1227
9
9.1 45.1 42.5 7.9 13.5
9
47.4
51.6___fii4_7._7 if 35.1
61.7 58.817.2
17.9 11.6 49.2 46.4 9.6 14.9 49.1
48.9 93989.7 9 9 9
53.7
1_959 18.5 14.3 51.9 48.9 12.7 18.2 51.6 6‘!-L 6°-8.-_._._..7_?.-.3 .. __‘i4-1 .
1960 19] 16.3 54.4 51.3 18.6 -18.8 53.9
_6_1g._0‘___59.9 W ff **_41.3 W
58.4 Z___68.2 64.3 45.8
Q5999 20.39 19.2 57.6 54.4 23.0 21.0 62.4 60.2 72.39999 99998919199999 99509.90 9 99
1962
99999999
22.6 __ 64.2 58.4 24_.6 27.9
99
68.4 -f.9E3§7.Iff9 iii
23.1
1963__ 27.8 25.5 66.8 65.0 30.5 35.6 56.5 73.1 71.9 68.3
9
55.5
1964 37.0 29.3 7-1.8 68.4 38.6 32.6 58.5 77.9 78.3 64.4 59.9999
_46.2_ 34.7 74.7 73.5 52.099 45.3 68.5 _ 1;
do
1965
1966 52.5 38.4 76.2 80.1 58.1 54.4 76.59
8 . 99.3 W W 8.3’ H
90.6 96.5 104.9 73.3
1996979 58.4 44.1 79.2 896.6 71.3 65.5 981.6 99.98 98.919999 1098.499 78.899
999
1968figfi_63.3
1969 g_69.1_Z
51.8
61.3
82.5
86.1
87.9
90.3
76.3
82.0
71.5
68.0
_8_§-4‘
88.9
1°°:.L_ 9°-.7._.__12_6..-.8 WW}?-2 . . .
100.9 88.3 130.8 85.0
1970 82.0 72.2 89.4 90.5 86.2 73.8 92.8 9909.4
9 899.9299999991901.5 99988.6 9
I99..7_l.9--.i39.-.19. 85.9 94.8 93.3 93.6_ 90.3 993.39 2 7
1972 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
9
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.03
Ira? 114.6 105.5_ 109.8 111.0 101.7 101.7_ 107.8 1194.79 05.899999999919076 99 99
95999 99
132.9 111_.4 120.2 1 24;6 119.6 103.5 95.54. -
.1 Z2.-9
1.915. ._ ._.. .
152.1 119.8 132.1 143.6 132.0 104.9 _90.8 _1_Z14.0____Z_ 104.9 124.2137.8
L976 140.7 173.2 99125.7
i 137.6 137.1 118.0 79.7 100.6 116.9
9 999
i 145.6 184.7 131.3 142.5 127.0 124.6 107.0
___ 96.2 122.3
104.9 _1_30.4__7 _g_ _1_32.6_
1978 148.7 200.2 138.9 149.3 115.4 131.2 105.0 95.7__”___137.9_ N 131.9 135.9
[é9é9l....l.3.§;1._ 215.8 146.8 151.0 112.1 134.0 111.2 92.2 122.7
999 99999 9
1980 157.4 231.3 155.2 155.1 123.79 133.4 112.9
__g__g_ 124.5 138.8
98.3 118.2 919907.799
99
91944.91
Source." See text.
Description of the Index
Table B-6 shows the construction of the index of
agriculture’s purchases of nonagricultural materials.
It is a weighted average of 10 indexes of separate
types of materials. The indexes are derived partly
from data published in the Narkhoz and partly from
89
data gathered from Soviet monographs on agricul-
ture. In particular, data for agriculture’s use of
mineral fertilizer and electric power are published in
the Narkhoz. The index of use of skim milk is
assumed to equal the index of industrially produced
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.