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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 36 …In the USSR the collective farm, or kolkhoz, is part state and part cooperative. The land…
  • p. 47 …0.66e_ Consumer cooperatives 1.283 i Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 Tax on…
  • p. 50 …Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, 1971; R…
  • p. 103 …Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item…
  • p. 118 …and economic admin- istration, administrative organs of cooperative and social organizations,” for which employment and oth…
  • p. 119 …Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the…
  • p. 130 …The profits distributed to consumer cooperative members are now considered to be a transfer receipt rather…
  • p. 133 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this…
  • p. 134 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This…
  • p. 135 …State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096 (1)Fo0d 84.104 (2) Soft goods 42.734…
  • p. 137 …Charges paid by members of housing 0.075 cooperatives for maintenance lmputed gross rent on urban…
  • p. 138 …Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p…
  • p. 139 …Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321 2…
  • p. 142 …Profits distributed to consumer 0.027 cooperative members 8.’C;solidate_d total outlays 215.841…
  • p. 147 …Consumer cooperatives 1.283 (1) Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 (2) Tax on income…
  • p. 160 …532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily…
  • p. 162 …532) and amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~ bles-—see…
  • p. 164 …retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its…
  • p. 257 …Other state purchasing orga- nizations are the Central Union of Consumer Cooper- atives, and the Ministries…
  • p. 286 …Review of I978 and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p…
  • p. 330 …exceeded the prices paid in state and cooperative retail outlets by an average of ~59 percent…
  • p. 331 …index of retail prices in state and cooperative outlets. The index which shows almost no change…
  • p. 332 …In coverage, it differs from the CIA index of consumption, mainly by inclusion of cooperative housing…
  • p. 335 …purchases of these items in state and cooperative retail outlets and in collective farm markets, including…
  • p. 339 …The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table B-5
Selected Purchases by Agriculture of Material
Inputs From Nonagricultural Sectors in 1972
Material- Input
Category
Input-Output Sector Purchases by Agriculture
(thousand rubles,
purchasers’ prices)
Share of Purchases
(percent)
Mineral fertilizer 2,102,579 16.3
W
Mineral chemistry products 59,649
Basic chemistry products 1,722,868
Organic synthetic products 12,570
Other chemicals 307,492
Electric power Electric power 317,298 2.5
V
Fuel and lubricants Oil refining 2,240,049 173
8 1"
Machinery repair 3,993,145
i 30.9 Mni
Metallurgy 97,585
Machine building and metalworking 3,895,560
Fish meal Fish products 397,966
g 3.1
' W
Bone meal Meat products 191,769 1.5“
W W
Milling byproducts Flour and cereals 2,758,112 21.3 _
1'
‘W
Oilseed meal 168,282 1.3
Vegetable products 57,336
Other foods 1 10,946
Skim milk Dairy products 608,679
_
4.7
Sugar beets Sugar 151,593
W 1.2
M
Total 12,929,472 100.0
Source: See table B-1 for a reference to the 1972 input-output data.
Agriculture
Scope and Coverage
The index of net agricultural production described by
Margaret Hughes and Barbara Severin (JEC, Agri-
culture) represents the gross value of agricultural
output less the value of that output used within
agriculture. In order to compute a value-added index
for agriculture, it is necessary to subtract also the I
value of the materials and services purchased by
agriculture on current account from nonagricultural
sectors. This subtraction is described here.
The index of purchases from nonagricultural sectors is
by design a material-input index similar to the con-
struction index described above. We have been able to
construct indexes of 10 types of materials purchased
by agriculture. These indexes are combined using
weights derived from the 1972 Soviet input-output
table.
Weights
Table B-5 shows the derivation of the weights used to
combine the 10 indexes of material inputs purchased
from nonagricultural sectors. The 1972 Soviet input-
output table shows agricu1ture’s purchases from all
sectors. Those purchases which relate to each of the
10 material-input indexes were summed and convert-
ed to percentage weights. The purchases selected in
this manner represent 71 percent of agriculture’s
purchases from nonagricultural sectors in 1972. The
most important types of inputs are fuel, machinery
repair, and milling byproducts.
88
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.