Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“Cooper”25 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Table B-3 Derivation of the Implicit Construction Price Index Year (1) (Z) (3) (4) Gross Material- Implicit Implicit Output of Input Annual Price Construc- Construc- Price Index tion tion Change (1970= I00) (billion Index (percent) rubles) (1970= 100) I950 12.1 20.4 NA 88.1 1951 $13.16‘ 23.3 -1.9 86.4 I952 15.3 25.7 2.2 88.3 1953 28.3 -4.8 84.1 gy____ 18.2 31.5 1.2 85.2 A 1955 18.4 35.7 - 10.4 76.3 1956 20._3___ 38.9 1.4 77.4 1957___* 22.6 43.1 0.3 77.7 l958____ <25.7 48.7 0.4 78.0 I959 29.2_ 54.7 1.1 78.9 1960 31.9 58.9 1.6 80.1 1961 32.7 62.0 -2.6 78.1 i2Ei,..._22-6 64.9 -1.9 76.6 1963 34.7 67.4 -0.6 76.1 1964 36.6 70.9 0.4 _ 76.4 1965 40._3 75.3 3.6 79.2 1966 43.0 78.8 2.0 80.7 1967 50.0 84.8 8.0 87.2 1968 53.0 89.3 0.7 87.8 1969 60.0 92.8 8.8 95.6 1970 67.6 100.0 4.6 100.0 1971 74.7 106.7 3.6 103.6 1972 77.4 112.2 -1.5 102.0 1973 80.9 118.8 -1.3 100.8 1974 851“ 125.0 1.5 102.2 1__975 91.7 131.2 1.1 103.4 1976 94.2 135.6 -0.6 102.7 1_917 96.2 138.9 -0.2 102.5 I978 99.2 143.0 0.1 102.6 1979 NA 144.1 NA NA 1980 NA 147.7 NA NA Sources: Column 1: 1958-78 are from Narkhoz I978, p. 41, and similar tables in other issues. 1950-57 are derived by linking a series of estimates of construction-installation work in current prices developed by Moorsteen and Powell (The Soviet Capital Stock, I928-1962, p. 395, table A-7, columns 5 plus 8) to the 1958 value. Column 2: This was described in the text. Columns 3 and 4: Both were derived from a comparison of columns 1 and 2. 87 Table B-4 Derivation of an Implicit Price Index for Investment in New Construction and Other Capital Outlays Year (ll New Construc- tion and Other Capital Outlays (billion rubles) Investment in New Construc- tion (billion 1969 rubles) 1961 27.9 (3) (4) Implicit Implicit Annual Price Price Index Change (1970= I00) 32.2 ___’ NA if W’ 1962 28.7 32.8 1.0 83.0 1963 29.6 33.8 1' 9 ..“_. 83-9 if - I964 31.0 36.2% __-2.1’ 81.3% f 1965 34.7 39.5 ,__8_3_;3 .. . . 1 966 36.8 42.5 - 1.3 p_ 82.1 __7____ 1967 I968 43.4 46.1 46.1 49.7 3-8 __,__89- _ ______ __ -1.5 88.0 3 I969 52.6 51.1 C . .__ 97-7._._._. I970 59.8 56.7” W l00.0fiWWm 1971 65.9 61.4’ 101.7 1972 68.1 65.5 —3._0__‘ 98.6 p_____ 1973 70.8 67.6_ 0.7 M____99.3 _W___ 1974 75.2 71.6__’ 0.2 99.5 1975 79.3 76.4_ 1976 80.7 77.9 1977 81.5 79.9__ -~ Q; Cf;1 1 98. -0.2 98.2 _ -1.6 W 96.7 MW 1978 83.2 83.8 -2.6 94.1 Sources: Column 1: This was derived from table B-3, column 1 less capital repair of buildings and structures (table C-2, column 2). Column 2: This was taken from Narkhoz 1972, p. 474, and similar tables in other issues. Columns 3 and 4: These were derived from a comparison of columns I a.nd 2. from the current-price gross output series in table B-3. (See appendix C for the derivation of the capital repair series in current prices.) The resulting series is compared with the Narkhoz series on investment in new construction and other capital outlays in constant prices (table B-4). The implicit price index derived from this camparison (column 4 of table B-4) matches the index derived in table B-3 closely, especially the large price increases in 1967 and 1969. Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.