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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 36 …In the USSR the collective farm, or kolkhoz, is part state and part cooperative. The land…
  • p. 47 …0.66e_ Consumer cooperatives 1.283 i Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 Tax on…
  • p. 50 …Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, 1971; R…
  • p. 103 …Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item…
  • p. 118 …and economic admin- istration, administrative organs of cooperative and social organizations,” for which employment and oth…
  • p. 119 …Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the…
  • p. 130 …The profits distributed to consumer cooperative members are now considered to be a transfer receipt rather…
  • p. 133 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this…
  • p. 134 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This…
  • p. 135 …State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096 (1)Fo0d 84.104 (2) Soft goods 42.734…
  • p. 137 …Charges paid by members of housing 0.075 cooperatives for maintenance lmputed gross rent on urban…
  • p. 138 …Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p…
  • p. 139 …Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321 2…
  • p. 142 …Profits distributed to consumer 0.027 cooperative members 8.’C;solidate_d total outlays 215.841…
  • p. 147 …Consumer cooperatives 1.283 (1) Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 (2) Tax on income…
  • p. 160 …532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily…
  • p. 162 …532) and amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~ bles-—see…
  • p. 164 …retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its…
  • p. 257 …Other state purchasing orga- nizations are the Central Union of Consumer Cooper- atives, and the Ministries…
  • p. 286 …Review of I978 and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p…
  • p. 330 …exceeded the prices paid in state and cooperative retail outlets by an average of ~59 percent…
  • p. 331 …index of retail prices in state and cooperative outlets. The index which shows almost no change…
  • p. 332 …In coverage, it differs from the CIA index of consumption, mainly by inclusion of cooperative housing…
  • p. 335 …purchases of these items in state and cooperative retail outlets and in collective farm markets, including…
  • p. 339 …The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
THE CONTRIBUTIONS OF RUSH V. GREENSLADE
The research in this volume owes an immense debt to the work of the late
Rush V. Greenslade. Dr. Greenslade was employed at the Central Intelligence
Agency from the early 1950’s until his retirement in 1973. For many years he
directed CIA’s research on the Soviet economy. After his retirement, he con-
tinued as a consultant and advisor to the CIA until his death in 1978.
Dr. Greenslade’s primary contributions were in the area of quantifying and
analyzing Soviet economic development. He developed an index of Soviet in-
dustrial production in the 1950’s and wrote frequently on industrial trends. He
was also closely involved in shaping the analytical framework and in organizing
the collection of data for estimates of Soviet GNP. In the early 1970’s, he led
an effort to convert the GNP estimate to 1970 prices and to reexamine and im-
prove all of the methodologies and data supporting these estimates. This work
led to the publication by the CIA of a set of GNP accounts for 1970 and an
article in the Joint Economic Committee’s 1976 compendium on the Soviet
eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R., 1959-1975.”
This volume extends Dr. Greenslade’s work by updating and documenting
the 1970 base-year accounts and the many time series used in calculating each
sector-of-origin and end-use GNP index.
Dr. Greenslade was also deeply involved in the analysis of the size and
structure of the Soviet economy in relation to that of the United States and
other countries. An earlier volume in this series on Soviet GNP compared
Soviet consumption with consumption in the United States and other countries.
This project was designed and directed in its early stages by Dr. Greenslade.
Dr. Greenslade also played a leading role in forming estimates of the dollar
value of Soviet investment based on new ruble-dollar ratios for machinery and
construction. The results of this ru'ble-dollar ratio research were published by
the CIA. Dr. Greenslade’s research on international economic comparisons
culminated in a new comparison of Soviet and United States GNP since 1955
published by Edwards, Hughes, and Noren in the Joint Economic Committee’s
1979 compendium on the Soviet economy.
(IX)
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.